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St Kilda Saints v West Coast Eagles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St Kilda Saints (Local)
Prediction 86.39%1.16fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -2.90%
Kelly -27.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.09%86.32%86.47%87.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.101.101.1298.04%91.31%90.91%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
West Coast Eagles (Visit)
Prediction 13.61%7.35fair odd
EV +2.35%
Edge +0.312%
Kelly +0.360%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 7.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.38%13.68%13.53%17.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.956.606.507.5220.20%15.15%15.38%13.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Kilda Saints (Local): 86.39%; West Coast Eagles (Visit): 13.61%. For West Coast Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.35. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.52, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.35%.
Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.54%EV -7.56%E -7.07%K -108.04%G +0.000% | 7.52I 13.30%NM 12.46%EV +2.35%E +0.312%K +0.360%G +0.008% | 6.8% | 2026-04-24 00:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.43%E -7.95%K -140.44%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +2.08%E +0.277%K +0.319%G +0.007% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 20:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.97%E -4.52%K -49.71%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -1.33%E -0.183%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.97%E -4.52%K -49.71%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -1.33%E -0.183%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.97%E -4.52%K -49.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 09:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.97%E -4.52%K -49.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.97%E -4.52%K -49.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 20:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.97%E -4.52%K -49.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 12:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.83%E -5.35%K -64.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.56%E -7.07%K -108.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 14:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.11%E -3.70%K -37.34%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -8.81%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.11%E -3.70%K -37.34%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -8.81%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 12:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.24%E -2.90%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -11.53%E -1.77%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-21 23:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.11%E -3.70%K -37.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.53%E -1.77%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-19 09:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.11%E -3.70%K -37.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.53%E -1.77%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 03:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.11%E -3.70%K -37.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.53%E -1.77%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 03:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.11%E -3.70%K -37.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.53%E -1.77%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 03:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.11%E -3.70%K -37.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.53%E -1.77%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 03:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.83%E -5.35%K -64.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.53%E -1.77%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 02:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.83%E -5.35%K -64.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.53%E -1.77%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 04:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.70%E -6.20%K -83.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.53%E -1.77%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-24 02:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 85.87%EV -11.88%E -11.65%K -594.11%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.13%EV -15.62%E -2.52%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.24%E -2.90%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -18.34%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 09:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.11%E -3.70%K -37.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -18.34%E -3.06%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -4.97%E -4.52%K -49.71%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -21.06%E -3.63%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -4.97%E -4.52%K -49.71%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -21.06%E -3.63%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.09%EV -6.70%E -6.20%K -83.74%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 17.91%EV -32.63%E -6.59%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-04-24 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-04-24 02:55 |