The School of Odds

St Kilda Saints v Port Adelaide Power

2026-07-11 03:15 — AFL

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (7 in analysis)

1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Option 1: St Kilda Saints (Local)

1.5265.79%Min
1.6162.28%Mean
1.6261.73%Median
1.6560.61%Max
57.14%1.750Min
59.49%1.681Max
58.36%1.713Mean
58.20%1.718Median
58.25%1.717IQM
58.39%1.713Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.65 under the IQM model: 58.25%

EV -3.88%Edge -2.35%Kelly -5.97%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Port Adelaide Power (Visit)

2.1047.62%Min
2.2544.44%Mean
2.2544.44%Median
2.3542.55%Max
40.51%2.469Min
42.86%2.333Max
41.64%2.402Mean
41.80%2.392Median
41.75%2.395IQM
41.61%2.403Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.35 under the IQM model: 41.75%

EV -1.89%Edge -0.806%Kelly -1.40%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

BookmakerSt Kilda Saints (Local) ▼Port Adelaide Power (Visit)MarginUpdated
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -3.88% E -2.35% K -5.97% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -6.07% E -2.70% K -4.86% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 09:35
PlayUp1.65I 60.61% NM 57.14%EV -3.88% E -2.35% K -5.97% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -8.16% E -3.71% K -6.80% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 09:34
SportsBet1.64I 60.98% NM 58.06%EV -4.46% E -2.72% K -6.98% G +0.000%2.27I 44.05% NM 41.94%EV -5.23% E -2.31% K -4.12% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 09:34
PointsBet (AU)1.64I 60.98% NM 57.84%EV -4.46% E -2.72% K -6.98% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.16%EV -6.07% E -2.70% K -4.86% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 09:35
Coolbet1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.63% E -3.48% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -3.98% E -1.73% K -3.06% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 12:28
Neds1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.63% E -3.48% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -3.98% E -1.73% K -3.06% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 10:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.63% E -3.48% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -3.98% E -1.73% K -3.06% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 10:05
TABtouch1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.63% E -3.48% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -3.98% E -1.73% K -3.06% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 12:25
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.63% E -3.48% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -3.98% E -1.73% K -3.06% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 12:24
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.63% E -3.48% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -3.98% E -1.73% K -3.06% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 12:24
Casumo1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.63% E -3.48% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -3.98% E -1.73% K -3.06% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 12:24
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -5.63% E -3.48% K -9.08% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -6.07% E -2.70% K -4.86% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 09:33
Unibet1.61I 62.11% NM 58.29%EV -6.21% E -3.86% K -10.18% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.71%EV -6.07% E -2.70% K -4.86% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 12:25
TAB1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -6.79% E -4.25% K -11.32% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -1.89% E -0.806% K -1.40% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 10:00
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50% NM 57.89%EV -6.79% E -4.25% K -11.32% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.11%EV -8.16% E -3.71% K -6.80% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 11:00
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89% NM 58.49%EV -7.38% E -4.64% K -12.50% G +0.000%2.24I 44.64% NM 41.51%EV -6.49% E -2.90% K -5.23% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 12:25
Betsson1.58I 63.29% NM 58.20%EV -7.96% E -5.04% K -13.72% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 41.80%EV -8.16% E -3.71% K -6.80% G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-05 09:59
NordicBet1.58I 63.29% NM 58.20%EV -7.96% E -5.04% K -13.72% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 41.80%EV -8.16% E -3.71% K -6.80% G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-05 10:00
DraftKings1.57I 63.69% NM 59.43%EV -8.54% E -5.44% K -14.99% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 40.57%EV -3.98% E -1.73% K -3.06% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 10:00
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36% NM 57.85%EV -10.87% E -7.11% K -20.51% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 42.15%EV -12.33% E -5.87% K -11.21% G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-05 10:00
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79% NM 58.01%EV -11.46% E -7.54% K -22.03% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 41.99%EV -12.33% E -5.87% K -11.21% G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-05 09:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerSt Kilda Saints (Local)Port Adelaide Power (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%2.34I 42.74%2.6%2026-07-05 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%2.34I 42.74%2.6%2026-07-05 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%2.34I 42.74%2.6%2026-07-05 13:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%2.25I 44.44%70.00I 1.43%8.4%2026-07-05 10:00