Lingua:Italiano
St Kilda Saints v Hawthorn Hawks
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
St Kilda Saints (Casa)
Previsione 28.14%3.55quota equa
EV +4.12%
Vantaggio +1.11%
Kelly +1.52%
Crescita +0.063%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.70%28.11%27.96%30.72%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.383.403.7033.33%29.58%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Hawthorn Hawks (Trasferta)
Previsione 71.86%1.39quota equa
EV -4.43%
Vantaggio -3.33%
Kelly -13.41%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.28%71.89%72.04%74.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.301.301.3381.97%76.90%76.92%75.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: St Kilda Saints (Casa): 28.14%; Hawthorn Hawks (Trasferta): 71.86%. Per St Kilda Saints (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.55. 6 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.70, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.12%.
Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +4.12%E +1.11%K +1.52%G +0.063% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -8.02%E -6.26%K -28.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 08:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +4.12%E +1.11%K +1.52%G +0.063% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -8.02%E -6.26%K -28.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 08:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.30%E +0.361%K +0.501%G +0.007% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.86%E -4.48%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +1.30%E +0.361%K +0.501%G +0.007% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.30%E -5.66%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 08:08 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +1.30%E +0.361%K +0.501%G +0.007% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.30%E -5.66%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 08:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +1.30%E +0.361%K +0.501%G +0.007% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.30%E -5.66%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 08:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.51%E -0.432%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.58%E -5.06%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 08:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.51%E -0.432%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.58%E -5.06%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 08:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.51%E -0.432%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.58%E -5.06%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 08:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.51%E -0.432%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.58%E -5.06%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 08:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.14%E -3.90%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.58%E -5.06%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.58%E -5.06%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.58%E -5.06%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 04:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.58%E -5.06%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 05:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.43%E -3.33%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 00:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.86%E -4.48%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.58%E -5.06%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-28 08:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.43%E -3.33%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.02%E -6.26%K -28.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-28 04:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.43%E -3.33%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 09:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.43%E -3.33%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 05:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.95%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -5.86%E -4.48%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 08:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -11.36%E -3.61%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -6.58%E -5.06%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-28 07:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -11.36%E -3.61%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -6.58%E -5.06%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-28 07:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -11.36%E -3.61%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.08%EV -12.33%E -10.11%K -56.04%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -14.18%E -4.65%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.44%EV -8.02%E -6.26%K -28.64%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -15.58%E -5.19%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -4.43%E -3.33%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-28 08:39 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |