La scuola delle quote

St Kilda Saints v Hawthorn Hawks

Inizio: 2026-05-28 09:30 UTC

Finale: St Kilda Saints 67–119 Hawthorn Hawks

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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28 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

St Kilda Saints (Casa)

Previsione 28.14%3.55quota equa
EV +4.12%
Vantaggio +1.11%
Kelly +1.52%
Crescita +0.063%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.70%28.11%27.96%30.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.383.403.7033.33%29.58%29.41%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hawthorn Hawks (Trasferta)

Previsione 71.86%1.39quota equa
EV -4.43%
Vantaggio -3.33%
Kelly -13.41%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.28%71.89%72.04%74.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.301.301.3381.97%76.90%76.92%75.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +4.12%E +1.11%K +1.52%G +0.063%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -8.02%E -6.26%K -28.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 08:29
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +4.12%E +1.11%K +1.52%G +0.063%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -8.02%E -6.26%K -28.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 08:30
Bet Right3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.30%E +0.361%K +0.501%G +0.007%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.86%E -4.48%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-28 09:10
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +1.30%E +0.361%K +0.501%G +0.007%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.30%E -5.66%K -25.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 08:08
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +1.30%E +0.361%K +0.501%G +0.007%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.30%E -5.66%K -25.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 08:39
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +1.30%E +0.361%K +0.501%G +0.007%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.30%E -5.66%K -25.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 08:29
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.51%E -0.432%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.58%E -5.06%K -21.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 08:29
Casumo3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.51%E -0.432%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.58%E -5.06%K -21.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 08:29
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.51%E -0.432%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.58%E -5.06%K -21.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 08:29
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.51%E -0.432%K -0.605%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.58%E -5.06%K -21.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 08:29
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.14%E -3.90%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 09:19
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.58%E -5.06%K -21.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 09:09
Dabble (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.58%E -5.06%K -21.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 09:19
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.58%E -5.06%K -21.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 04:58
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.58%E -5.06%K -21.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 05:00
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.43%E -3.33%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 00:39
SportsBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.86%E -4.48%K -18.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 09:19
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.58%E -5.06%K -21.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-28 08:29
Pinnacle3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.43%E -3.33%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 09:00
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.02%E -6.26%K -28.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-28 04:49
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.43%E -3.33%K -13.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 09:09
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.43%E -3.33%K -13.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 05:39
Marathon Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.95%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -5.86%E -4.48%K -18.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 08:39
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -11.36%E -3.61%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -6.58%E -5.06%K -21.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-28 07:49
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -11.36%E -3.61%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -6.58%E -5.06%K -21.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-28 07:49
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -11.36%E -3.61%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.08%EV -12.33%E -10.11%K -56.04%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-28 09:19
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -14.18%E -4.65%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.44%EV -8.02%E -6.26%K -28.64%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-28 09:19
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -15.58%E -5.19%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -4.43%E -3.33%K -13.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-28 08:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%0.4%2026-05-28 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%0.4%2026-05-28 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%0.4%2026-05-28 09:20