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St Kilda Saints v Greater Western Sydney Giants
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St Kilda Saints (Local)
Prediction 49.36%2.03fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.636%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%49.64%49.39%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.911.922.0058.82%52.43%52.08%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Greater Western Sydney Giants (Visit)
Prediction 50.64%1.97fair odd
EV +1.27%
Edge +0.636%
Kelly +1.27%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.95%50.36%50.61%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.851.852.0057.14%53.98%54.05%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Kilda Saints (Local): 49.36%; Greater Western Sydney Giants (Visit): 50.64%. For Greater Western Sydney Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.97. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.27%.
Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -16.08%E -9.46%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV +1.27%E +0.636%K +1.27%G +0.016% | 8.8% | 2026-06-13 12:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -8.68%E -4.69%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.28%E -1.72%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-14 03:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.21%E -3.27%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.79%E -2.00%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-14 05:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.21%E -3.27%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.79%E -2.00%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-14 04:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.21%E -3.27%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.79%E -2.00%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-14 05:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.21%E -3.27%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.79%E -2.00%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-14 04:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.21%E -3.27%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.79%E -2.00%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-14 04:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.22%E -2.72%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.30%E -2.27%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-14 05:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.25%E -1.66%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.80%E -2.56%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-14 04:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.74%E -1.92%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.32%E -3.42%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-14 05:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.74%E -1.92%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.32%E -3.42%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-14 05:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.74%E -1.92%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.32%E -3.42%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-14 04:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.74%E -1.92%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.32%E -3.42%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-14 05:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.74%E -1.92%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.32%E -3.42%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-14 04:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.74%E -1.92%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.32%E -3.42%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-14 05:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.74%E -1.92%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.32%E -3.42%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-14 05:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.74%E -1.92%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.32%E -3.42%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-14 04:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.22%E -2.72%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.32%E -3.42%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-14 05:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -7.20%E -3.83%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -6.83%E -3.71%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-14 04:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.26%E -1.14%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.34%E -4.01%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-14 05:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -1.27%E -0.636%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -8.35%E -4.61%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-14 04:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.21%E -3.27%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.85%E -4.92%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-14 03:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.68%E -4.69%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.85%E -4.92%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-14 04:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.68%E -4.69%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.85%E -4.92%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-14 04:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.58%EV -10.16%E -5.58%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.42%EV -9.36%E -5.23%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-14 05:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -1.27%E -0.636%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -10.37%E -5.86%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-14 04:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.72%EV -12.63%E -7.13%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.28%EV -11.39%E -6.51%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-06-14 05:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-06-14 05:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-06-14 05:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-06-14 05:10 |