The School of Odds

Richmond Tigers v West Coast Eagles

2026-08-02 03:10 UTC — AFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Richmond Tigers (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -50.76%
Kelly -103.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.70%0.00%0.00%48.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.911.941.941.9752%52%52%51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

West Coast Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -53.48%
Kelly -114.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%0.00%0.00%51.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.831.851.851.8755%54%54%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%4.2%2026-07-21 04:14
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%7.0%2026-07-21 04:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.2%2026-07-21 06:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.2%2026-07-21 06:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.2%2026-07-21 06:10