The School of OddsRichmond Tigers v Hawthorn Hawks
Head to Head
1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Richmond Tigers (Local)
Prediction 10.09%9.91fair odd
EV +10.95%
Edge +0.995%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.120%
assuming max odds 11.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.71%10.33%10.15%14.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
6.309.389.6011.0016%11%10%9%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Hawthorn Hawks (Visit)
Prediction 89.91%1.11fair odd
EV -4.69%
Edge -4.43%
Kelly -78.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.95%89.67%89.85%91.29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.011.041.041.0699%96%96%94%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +10.95%E +0.995%K +1.09%G +0.120% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.59%E -5.32%K -111.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 10:29 |
| SportsBet | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +5.91%E +0.562%K +0.622%G +0.037% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.59%E -5.32%K -111.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 09:14 |
| Grosvenor | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +5.91%E +0.562%K +0.622%G +0.037% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -6.49%E -6.24%K -162.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-12 09:39 |
| Casumo | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +5.91%E +0.562%K +0.622%G +0.037% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -6.49%E -6.24%K -162.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-12 09:39 |
| TABtouch | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +5.91%E +0.562%K +0.622%G +0.037% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -6.49%E -6.24%K -162.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-12 09:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +5.91%E +0.562%K +0.622%G +0.037% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -6.49%E -6.24%K -162.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-12 09:39 |
| TAB | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.862%E +0.086%K +0.096%G +0.001% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.59%E -5.32%K -111.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-12 09:13 |
| Neds | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.862%E +0.086%K +0.096%G +0.001% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.59%E -5.32%K -111.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-12 09:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +0.862%E +0.086%K +0.096%G +0.001% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.59%E -5.32%K -111.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-12 09:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.69%EV -3.17%E -0.330%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.31%EV -7.39%E -7.17%K -246.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-12 14:34 |
| Coolbet | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.18%E -0.440%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.69%E -4.43%K -78.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-12 09:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -4.18%E -0.440%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.59%E -5.32%K -111.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 09:54 |
| Paddy Power | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -9.22%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.69%E -4.43%K -78.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 09:13 |
| Unibet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -9.22%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.49%E -6.24%K -162.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-12 09:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -9.22%E -1.02%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.39%E -7.17%K -246.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-12 12:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.35%EV -11.75%E -1.34%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 89.65%EV -9.19%E -9.10%K -918.71%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-12 09:14 |
| Betsson | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -29.40%E -4.20%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.06%EV -6.49%E -6.24%K -162.24%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-12 10:29 |
| NordicBet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -29.40%E -4.20%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.06%EV -6.49%E -6.24%K -162.24%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-12 10:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.05%EV -36.46%E -5.79%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 85.95%EV -7.39%E -7.17%K -246.29%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-12 10:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88% | 2.7% | 2026-07-12 14:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88% | 2.7% | 2026-07-12 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 14:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.69% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.91% | 9.7% | 2026-07-12 10:34 |