La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.40
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.23
2 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neds | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +6.69%E +1.24%K +1.52%G +0.102% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -7.72%E -6.71%K -51.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 02:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +6.69%E +1.24%K +1.52%G +0.102% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -7.72%E -6.71%K -51.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 02:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV +3.72%E +0.709%K +0.876%G +0.033% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -9.33%E -8.25%K -71.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 02:12 |
| Grosvenor | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.73%E +0.526%K +0.651%G +0.018% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.92%E -5.96%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 02:15 |
| TABtouch | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.73%E +0.526%K +0.651%G +0.018% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.92%E -5.96%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 02:14 |
| Casumo | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.73%E +0.526%K +0.651%G +0.018% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.92%E -5.96%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 02:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.73%E +0.526%K +0.651%G +0.018% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.92%E -5.96%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 02:14 |
| Unibet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +2.73%E +0.526%K +0.651%G +0.018% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -7.72%E -6.71%K -51.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 02:15 |
| BetUS | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.12%E -5.23%K -35.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 02:14 |
| Coral | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.72%E -6.71%K -51.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 02:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.72%E -6.71%K -51.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 02:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -1.22%E -0.243%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -9.33%E -8.25%K -71.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 02:14 |
| PlayUp | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -5.17%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 02:14 |
| Coolbet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.17%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.51%E -3.79%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 02:13 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.17%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.51%E -3.79%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 02:15 |
| SportsBet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.14%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.31%E -4.50%K -29.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 02:15 |
| DraftKings | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.14%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.31%E -4.50%K -29.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 02:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.31%E -4.50%K -29.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 02:15 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.09%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 02:15 |
| TAB | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.09%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 02:15 |
| Dabble (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.09%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.31%E -4.50%K -29.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 02:14 |
| Pinnacle | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.20%EV -11.89%E -2.66%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 02:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -13.07%E -2.97%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 80.00%EV -11.73%E -10.67%K -117.32%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-21 02:14 |
| Everygame | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -15.05%E -3.50%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -5.31%E -4.50%K -29.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 02:01 |
| Bet Right | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -16.03%E -3.77%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -1.30%E -1.06%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 02:14 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 02:15 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.36% | 125.00I 0.80%NM 0.73% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 02:15 |
| Betsson | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.36% | 125.00I 0.80%NM 0.73% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 02:15 |