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Richmond Tigers v Adelaide Crows
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Richmond Tigers (主队)
预测 16.25%6.15公平赔率
EV +5.62%
优势 +0.864%
Kelly +1.02%
增长率 +0.057%
假设最高赔率为 6.50
博彩公司预测分布
14.25%16.60%16.36%21.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.305.746.006.5023.26%17.42%16.67%15.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
Adelaide Crows (客队)
预测 83.75%1.19公平赔率
EV -0.336%
优势 -0.282%
Kelly -1.77%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.19
博彩公司预测分布
78.47%83.40%83.64%85.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.051.121.121.1995.24%89.17%89.29%84.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Richmond Tigers (主队)：16.25%；Adelaide Crows (客队)：83.75%。 对于“Richmond Tigers (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.15。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.50，对应+5.62%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV +5.62%E +0.864%K +1.02%G +0.057% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -9.55%E -8.84%K -119.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 10:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.75%EV +2.37%E +0.376%K +0.447%G +0.011% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.25%EV -8.71%E -7.99%K -96.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 05:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +1.55%E +0.249%K +0.296%G +0.005% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.20%E -5.53%K -51.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 11:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV +0.742%E +0.120%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -6.20%E -5.53%K -51.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 22:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.51%E -0.418%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.36%E -4.74%K -41.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 04:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.51%E -0.418%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.36%E -4.74%K -41.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 04:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.51%E -0.418%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.36%E -4.74%K -41.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 23:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.51%E -0.418%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.36%E -4.74%K -41.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 04:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.51%E -0.418%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.20%E -5.53%K -51.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 20:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.51%E -0.418%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.20%E -5.53%K -51.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 03:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.51%E -0.418%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.20%E -5.53%K -51.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 20:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.51%E -0.418%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.20%E -5.53%K -51.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 20:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.51%E -0.418%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.20%E -5.53%K -51.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 20:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.51%E -0.418%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.20%E -5.53%K -51.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 15:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.51%E -0.418%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.04%E -6.34%K -63.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.51%E -0.418%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.04%E -6.34%K -63.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 22:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.51%E -0.418%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.04%E -6.34%K -63.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 22:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.76%E -0.993%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.52%E -3.97%K -32.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 03:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -5.76%E -0.993%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.20%E -5.53%K -51.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 20:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.57%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.36%E -4.74%K -41.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 04:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.57%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.20%E -5.53%K -51.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 03:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.63%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.52%E -3.97%K -32.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 04:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.54%EV -13.88%E -2.62%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 83.46%EV -12.06%E -11.49%K -241.22%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-10 04:38 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -18.76%E -3.75%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -6.20%E -5.53%K -51.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 15:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -18.76%E -3.75%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -6.20%E -5.53%K -51.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 15:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.27%EV -24.44%E -5.26%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.73%EV -7.04%E -6.34%K -63.96%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-10 05:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.52%EV -25.09%E -5.44%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.48%EV -0.336%E -0.282%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 05:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -30.13%E -7.01%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -1.17%E -0.995%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 05:09 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 0.3% | 2026-05-10 05:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 0.3% | 2026-05-10 05:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 0.3% | 2026-05-10 05:09 |