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Port Adelaide Power v West Coast Eagles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Port Adelaide Power (Local)
Prediction 74.30%1.35fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -2.62%
Kelly -11.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.07%74.58%74.27%77.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.261.261.3084.75%79.65%79.37%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
West Coast Eagles (Visit)
Prediction 25.70%3.89fair odd
EV +8.19%
Edge +1.95%
Kelly +2.55%
Growth +0.209%
assuming max odds 4.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.18%25.42%25.73%27.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.663.704.2131.25%27.30%27.03%23.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Port Adelaide Power (Local): 74.30%; West Coast Eagles (Visit): 25.70%. For West Coast Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.21, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.19%.
Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.82%EV -10.84%E -9.03%K -54.19%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.18%EV +8.19%E +1.95%K +2.55%G +0.209% | 7.1% | 2026-03-28 02:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -10.84%E -9.03%K -54.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +2.79%E +0.698%K +0.931%G +0.026% | 8.3% | 2026-03-27 08:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.38%E -5.06%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -1.06%E -0.276%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-26 03:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.38%E -5.06%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.35%E -0.617%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-27 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.38%E -5.06%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.35%E -0.617%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-27 23:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.38%E -5.06%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.35%E -0.617%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-27 11:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -8.61%E -7.00%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -2.35%E -0.617%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 13:53 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.38%E -5.06%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.63%E -0.968%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.38%E -5.06%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.63%E -0.968%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.38%E -5.06%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.63%E -0.968%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.38%E -5.06%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.63%E -0.968%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.38%E -5.06%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.63%E -0.968%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 20:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.12%E -5.70%K -28.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.63%E -0.968%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-26 23:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.12%E -5.70%K -28.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.63%E -0.968%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-26 23:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.89%E -3.82%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.92%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 21:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.89%E -3.82%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.92%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 06:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.89%E -3.82%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.92%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 19:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.89%E -3.82%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.92%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 15:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.64%E -4.44%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.92%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 23:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.64%E -4.44%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.92%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 12:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.12%E -5.70%K -28.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-27 05:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-27 01:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.41%E -2.62%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 04:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.38%E -5.06%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 07:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.38%E -5.06%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 07:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.38%E -5.06%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.24%EV -12.32%E -10.44%K -68.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.76%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-26 15:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.07%EV -7.87%E -6.34%K -32.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -17.77%E -5.55%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.07%EV -7.87%E -6.34%K -32.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -17.77%E -5.55%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-28 01:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 2.0% | 2026-03-28 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 2.0% | 2026-03-28 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22% | 2.5% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |