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Port Adelaide Power v Sydney Swans
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Port Adelaide Power (Local)
Prediction 32.43%3.08fair odd
EV +0.532%
Edge +0.172%
Kelly +0.253%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.80%32.58%32.34%34.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.892.903.1038.46%34.63%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sydney Swans (Visit)
Prediction 67.57%1.48fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -6.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.49%67.42%67.66%69.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.391.401.4476.34%71.70%71.68%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Port Adelaide Power (Local): 32.43%; Sydney Swans (Visit): 67.57%. For Port Adelaide Power (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.08. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.532%.
Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.532%E +0.172%K +0.253%G +0.001% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-13 09:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.532%E +0.172%K +0.253%G +0.001% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-13 09:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.09%E -0.357%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-13 09:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.09%E -0.357%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-13 09:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.09%E -0.357%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-13 09:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.09%E -0.357%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-13 09:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.09%E -0.357%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-13 09:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.59%EV -2.39%E -0.793%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41%EV -6.08%E -4.37%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-13 09:31 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.71%E -0.904%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-13 09:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.33%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-13 09:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.63%EV -4.66%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.37%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-13 09:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.37%E -2.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-12 17:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.05%E -2.85%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-13 09:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-13 09:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -5.95%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-08 09:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.58%E -2.66%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.37%E -2.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-13 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.58%E -2.66%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.05%E -2.85%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-11 09:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.58%E -2.66%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.05%E -2.85%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-11 09:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -7.90%E -2.78%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.82%EV -4.73%E -3.35%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-13 09:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.70%E -1.87%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-13 03:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.20%E -3.28%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.05%E -2.85%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-13 00:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.70%E -1.87%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-13 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.05%E -2.85%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-12 23:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.82%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.05%E -2.85%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-12 23:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -12.44%E -4.61%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-11 14:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -12.44%E -4.61%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-11 14:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.91%EV -13.41%E -5.02%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.09%EV -11.48%E -8.77%K -37.04%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-06-13 09:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.51%EV -15.68%E -6.03%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.49%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-13 09:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-06-13 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-06-13 09:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-06-13 09:30 |