Port Adelaide Power v Fremantle Dockers

2026-07-18 03:15 UTC — AFL

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

26%

74%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Port Adelaide Power (Local)

Prediction 26.11%3.83fair odd

EV +10.95%

Edge +2.58%

Kelly +3.37%

Growth +0.369%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

22.30%25.58%26.93%27.13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.253.924.084.2531%26%25%24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Fremantle Dockers (Visit)

Prediction 73.89%1.35fair odd

EV -3.94%

Edge -3.03%

Kelly -13.12%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

72.87%74.42%73.07%77.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.201.231.221.3083%81%82%77%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
TABtouch	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +10.95%E +2.58%K +3.37%G +0.369%	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -9.85%E -8.07%K -44.77%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-12 09:40
Unibet (NL)	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +10.95%E +2.58%K +3.37%G +0.369%	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -9.85%E -8.07%K -44.77%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-12 09:39
Grosvenor	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +10.95%E +2.58%K +3.37%G +0.369%	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -9.85%E -8.07%K -44.77%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-12 09:39
Casumo	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +10.95%E +2.58%K +3.37%G +0.369%	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -9.85%E -8.07%K -44.77%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-12 09:39
Marathon Bet	4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV +8.34%E +2.01%K +2.65%G +0.221%	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -11.33%E -9.44%K -56.63%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-12 10:14
Unibet	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +4.42%E +1.11%K +1.47%G +0.065%	1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.85%E -8.07%K -44.77%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-12 09:40
Tipico (DE)	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -0.798%E -0.210%K -0.285%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -9.85%E -8.07%K -44.77%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-12 09:39
Coolbet	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.94%E -3.03%K -13.12%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-12 10:19
PointsBet (AU)	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.63%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.68%E -3.63%K -16.13%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-12 09:36
NetBet (FR)	3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -15.16%E -4.66%K -6.74%G +0.000%	1.21I 82.64%NM 72.87%EV -10.59%E -8.75%K -50.42%G +0.000%	13.4%	2026-07-12 10:20

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%	1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%	9.3%	2026-07-12 09:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%	1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%	9.3%	2026-07-12 09:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%	1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%	9.3%	2026-07-12 09:40