The School of Odds
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North Melbourne Kangaroos v West Coast Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-06-13 06:15 UTC

Final: North Melbourne Kangaroos 74–73 West Coast Eagles

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

North Melbourne Kangaroos (Local)

Prediction 64.34%1.55fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -6.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.68%64.28%64.28%66.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.461.481.5072.46%68.33%67.57%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

West Coast Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 35.66%2.80fair odd
EV -0.161%
Edge -0.057%
Kelly -0.089%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.96%35.72%35.72%38.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.642.652.8042.55%37.95%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Melbourne Kangaroos (Local): 64.34%; West Coast Eagles (Visit): 35.66%. For West Coast Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.805. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.800, with an expected value of -0.161%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.49%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-11 19:49
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.49%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-11 19:50
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.49%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 03:49
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.49%E -2.32%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 03:50
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 15:10
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 06:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 06:10
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 06:10
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 06:10
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 06:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-11 23:30
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-11 23:28
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.07%E -3.56%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-13 06:10
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -14.42%E -6.01%K -10.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-12 06:50
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -4.77%E -3.22%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -14.42%E -6.01%K -10.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-12 06:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.68%EV -6.06%E -4.15%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -16.21%E -6.90%K -12.00%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-13 06:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.94%E -0.707%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 05:41
Dabble (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.94%E -0.707%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 05:40
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-13 03:48
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -4.08%E -1.52%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 06:01
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.70%E -4.62%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -9.07%E -3.56%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-12 03:49
PlayUp🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.35%E -5.10%K -16.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.161%E -0.057%K -0.089%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 05:30
TAB🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.35%E -5.10%K -16.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.161%E -0.057%K -0.089%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 04:50
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.35%E -5.10%K -16.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.161%E -0.057%K -0.089%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 06:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.35%E -5.10%K -16.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.94%E -0.707%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 04:50
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.35%E -5.10%K -16.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.29%E -2.80%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-12 21:58
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.94%EV -9.28%E -6.58%K -22.63%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.06%EV -2.66%E -0.973%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-12 21:58
NetBet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.97%EV -11.21%E -8.12%K -29.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.03%EV -12.64%E -5.16%K -8.72%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-13 05:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-06-13 06:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-06-13 06:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-06-13 06:10