La scuola delle quote

North Melbourne Kangaroos v Richmond Tigers

Inizio: 2026-04-19 03:10 UTC

Finale: North Melbourne Kangaroos 130–55 Richmond Tigers

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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28 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

North Melbourne Kangaroos (Casa)

Previsione 78.51%1.27quota equa
EV -4.22%
Vantaggio -3.46%
Kelly -19.19%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.22

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
75.16%78.65%78.27%81.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.131.201.201.2288.50%83.61%83.33%81.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Richmond Tigers (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.49%4.65quota equa
EV +10.04%
Vantaggio +1.96%
Kelly +2.44%
Crescita +0.245%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.12

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.47%21.35%21.73%24.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.394.405.1227.78%22.78%22.73%19.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 81.53%EV -8.93%E -7.70%K -55.83%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.47%EV +10.04%E +1.96%K +2.44%G +0.245%5.7%2026-04-19 01:30
PlayUp1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -8.15%E -6.96%K -47.92%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +9.61%E +1.89%K +2.35%G +0.225%5.1%2026-04-19 02:55
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -10.50%E -9.21%K -75.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +7.47%E +1.49%K +1.87%G +0.139%7.7%2026-04-19 01:29
Marathon Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -9.72%E -8.45%K -64.78%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +5.32%E +1.08%K +1.36%G +0.072%7.4%2026-04-19 02:40
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.79%E -4.83%K -28.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.13%E -0.246%K -0.314%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 02:55
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.36%E -6.24%K -40.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.13%E -0.246%K -0.314%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 02:55
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.79%E -4.83%K -28.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.28%E -0.729%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 02:55
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.79%E -4.83%K -28.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.28%E -0.729%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 02:54
BetUS1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.79%E -4.83%K -28.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.28%E -0.729%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 13:00
Dabble (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.79%E -4.83%K -28.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.28%E -0.729%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 02:05
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.79%E -4.83%K -28.96%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -4.36%E -0.979%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 02:45
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.43%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.43%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 01:05
Grosvenor1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.01%E -4.14%K -23.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.43%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 02:20
Casumo1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.01%E -4.14%K -23.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.43%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 02:20
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.01%E -4.14%K -23.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.43%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 02:20
TABtouch1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.01%E -4.14%K -23.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.43%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 02:20
DraftKings1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.79%E -4.83%K -28.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.43%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 02:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.79%E -4.83%K -28.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.93%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 22:55
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.79%E -4.83%K -28.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.93%E -1.60%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 22:55
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.58%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 02:55
Unibet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.01%E -4.14%K -23.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.73%E -2.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 02:20
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.03%E -3.51%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 02:55
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.79%E -4.83%K -28.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.03%E -3.51%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 02:59
NetBet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 77.97%EV -11.29%E -9.99%K -86.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -14.03%E -3.51%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-19 03:00
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -18.33%E -4.82%K -6.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 15:45
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -4.22%E -3.46%K -19.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -18.33%E -4.82%K -6.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 15:45
Unibet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 75.16%EV -6.58%E -5.53%K -34.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -22.62%E -6.28%K -8.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 02:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-04-19 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-04-19 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-04-19 02:55