La scuola delle quote

North Melbourne Kangaroos v Fremantle Dockers

Inizio: 2026-06-06 04:15 UTC

Finale: North Melbourne Kangaroos 31–155 Fremantle Dockers

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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28 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

North Melbourne Kangaroos (Casa)

Previsione 22.95%4.36quota equa
EV -0.619%
Vantaggio -0.143%
Kelly -0.186%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.42%23.19%22.79%26.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.404.034.184.3329.41%24.79%23.95%23.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fremantle Dockers (Trasferta)

Previsione 77.05%1.30quota equa
EV -2.92%
Vantaggio -2.32%
Kelly -11.23%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.26

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
73.43%76.81%77.21%78.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.151.221.221.2686.96%81.73%81.97%79.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Marathon Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -0.619%E -0.143%K -0.186%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -9.08%E -7.70%K -50.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-06 03:59
TAB4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -1.31%E -0.304%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.00%E -4.92%K -27.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 03:49
Everygame4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -1.31%E -0.304%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -9.08%E -7.70%K -50.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-06 04:09
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -2.46%E -0.578%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.23%E -4.25%K -22.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 03:49
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.46%E -0.578%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.00%E -4.92%K -27.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-06 03:29
Casumo4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.46%E -0.578%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.00%E -4.92%K -27.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-06 03:29
PlayUp4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.46%E -0.578%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.00%E -4.92%K -27.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-06 03:59
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.46%E -0.578%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.00%E -4.92%K -27.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-06 03:29
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.46%E -0.578%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.00%E -4.92%K -27.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-06 03:29
Dabble (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.46%E -0.578%K -0.755%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.00%E -4.92%K -27.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-06 01:00
Pinnacle4.24I 23.58%NM 22.34%EV -2.68%E -0.633%K -0.829%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.66%EV -6.00%E -4.92%K -27.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 03:59
Betr (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.60%E -0.858%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.23%E -4.25%K -22.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 04:09
DraftKings4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.60%E -0.858%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.00%E -4.92%K -27.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 03:49
PointsBet (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.60%E -0.858%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.00%E -4.92%K -27.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 03:59
SportsBet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -4.75%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.00%E -4.92%K -27.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-06 03:59
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.19%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.69%E -2.95%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 03:48
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.19%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 03:20
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.19%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 03:20
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.19%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.00%E -4.92%K -27.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-06 02:49
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.19%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.54%E -6.29%K -37.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 12:39
BetUS3.91I 25.58%NM 24.37%EV -10.26%E -2.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.63%EV -2.92%E -2.32%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 01:19
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.93%E -3.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.69%E -2.95%K -14.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-06 02:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.93%E -3.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.69%E -2.95%K -14.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-02 10:40
Coral3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.93%E -3.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.69%E -2.95%K -14.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-02 13:20
NetBet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.71%EV -15.08%E -4.08%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 76.29%EV -11.39%E -9.91%K -75.96%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-06 03:50
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -19.67%E -5.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-04 16:59
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -19.67%E -5.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -4.46%E -3.60%K -18.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-04 17:00
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -21.96%E -6.46%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 73.43%EV -5.23%E -4.25%K -22.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-06 04:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-06-06 03:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-06-06 03:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-06-06 03:50