La scuola delle quote

North Melbourne Kangaroos v Essendon Bombers

Inizio: 2026-06-28 05:15 UTC

Finale: North Melbourne Kangaroos 79–65 Essendon Bombers

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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28 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

North Melbourne Kangaroos (Casa)

Previsione 65.99%1.52quota equa
EV -1.02%
Vantaggio -0.678%
Kelly -2.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.59%65.89%66.22%67.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.441.451.5073.53%69.36%68.97%66.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Essendon Bombers (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.01%2.94quota equa
EV -1.37%
Vantaggio -0.471%
Kelly -0.719%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.24%34.11%33.78%36.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.712.702.9040.00%36.95%37.04%34.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -1.02%E -0.678%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -10.89%E -4.16%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 01:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.34%E -1.58%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.87%E -3.72%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 04:39
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.34%E -1.58%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.87%E -3.72%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 04:40
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.00%E -2.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.17%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 05:10
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.00%E -2.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.17%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 04:40
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.00%E -2.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.17%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 04:39
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.00%E -2.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.17%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 04:39
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.00%E -2.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -8.17%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 04:40
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -3.66%E -2.50%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -10.55%E -4.01%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 04:39
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.32%E -2.98%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.77%E -1.70%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 13:30
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.32%E -2.98%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 05:00
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.32%E -2.98%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.47%E -2.35%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 05:09
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -4.32%E -2.98%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -7.83%E -2.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 05:10
Dabble (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.32%E -2.98%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.17%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-28 05:09
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -4.32%E -2.98%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -13.27%E -5.20%K -8.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-28 03:30
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -4.32%E -2.98%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -13.27%E -5.20%K -8.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-28 03:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.98%E -3.46%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.17%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 02:20
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.98%E -3.46%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.17%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 02:19
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.98%E -3.46%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.57%E -4.45%K -7.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-28 05:06
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.64%E -3.94%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.07%E -1.08%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 05:10
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.30%E -4.43%K -14.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.37%E -0.471%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 05:10
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.30%E -4.43%K -14.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.37%E -0.471%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 05:09
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.30%E -4.43%K -14.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.07%E -1.08%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-28 05:08
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 63.94%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -14.97%E -5.99%K -9.98%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-28 05:10
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.62%E -5.44%K -19.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.17%E -3.03%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-27 18:59
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 66.90%EV -8.28%E -5.95%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.10%EV -4.43%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 05:09
PointsBet (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -8.94%E -6.48%K -23.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -1.37%E -0.471%K -0.719%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 04:59
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.77%EV -10.26%E -7.54%K -28.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.23%EV -14.97%E -5.99%K -9.98%G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-28 05:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-06-28 05:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-06-28 05:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-06-28 05:10