La scuola delle quote

North Melbourne Kangaroos v Brisbane Lions

Inizio: 2026-04-11 02:35 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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28 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

North Melbourne Kangaroos (Casa)

Previsione 14.59%6.85quota equa
EV +8.00%
Vantaggio +1.08%
Kelly +1.25%
Crescita +0.100%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.53%14.70%14.62%18.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.706.206.227.4021.28%16.13%16.06%13.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Brisbane Lions (Trasferta)

Previsione 85.41%1.17quota equa
EV -3.49%
Vantaggio -3.09%
Kelly -26.86%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.13

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
81.17%85.30%85.38%87.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.031.111.111.1397.09%90.47%90.09%88.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Marathon Bet7.40I 13.51%NM 12.53%EV +8.00%E +1.08%K +1.25%G +0.100%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.47%EV -9.47%E -8.93%K -157.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 02:29
Pinnacle6.65I 15.04%NM 14.19%EV -2.94%E -0.443%K -0.521%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.81%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 02:20
PlayUp6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -5.13%E -0.790%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.49%E -3.09%K -26.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 01:40
TAB6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.13%E -0.790%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.20%E -4.68%K -47.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 06:20
DraftKings6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.13%E -0.790%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.20%E -4.68%K -47.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 02:20
BetUS6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.13%E -0.790%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.20%E -4.68%K -47.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 01:34
Unibet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.13%E -0.790%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 21:34
Unibet (NL)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.13%E -0.790%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 21:35
TABtouch6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.13%E -0.790%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 21:35
Casumo6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.13%E -0.790%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 21:35
Grosvenor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.13%E -0.790%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 21:35
Tipico (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -5.13%E -0.790%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.76%E -7.19%K -97.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-09 14:45
Coolbet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -6.59%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.35%E -3.88%K -36.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 06:20
Bet Right6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.78%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.35%E -3.88%K -36.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 02:10
Betr (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -9.51%E -1.53%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.35%E -3.88%K -36.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 01:40
Dabble (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -12.43%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.49%E -3.09%K -26.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 02:04
Ladbrokes (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.43%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.35%E -3.88%K -36.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 02:20
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.43%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.35%E -3.88%K -36.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 02:14
Neds6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.43%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.35%E -3.88%K -36.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 02:20
PointsBet (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.43%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.35%E -3.88%K -36.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 02:05
SportsBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.43%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.35%E -3.88%K -36.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 02:15
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.43%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.20%E -4.68%K -47.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-09 23:23
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.43%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.20%E -4.68%K -47.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-09 23:24
Everygame6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.43%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 02:10
NetBet (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.65%EV -12.43%E -2.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 85.35%EV -12.03%E -11.68%K -401.09%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-10 21:39
Betsson5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -19.73%E -3.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -5.20%E -4.68%K -47.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 03:34
NordicBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -19.73%E -3.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -5.20%E -4.68%K -47.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 03:34
Unibet (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 18.83%EV -31.40%E -6.68%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 81.17%EV -6.91%E -6.34%K -76.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 02:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%0.8%2026-04-11 02:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%0.8%2026-04-11 02:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%0.9%2026-04-11 02:30