赔率学院

Melbourne Demons v St Kilda Saints

开赛时间: 2026-03-15 04:16 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Melbourne Demons (主队)

预测 38.69%2.58公平赔率
EV -1.35%
优势 -0.528%
Kelly -0.869%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.55

博彩公司预测分布
37.50%38.80%38.46%42.31%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.252.422.452.5544.44%41.24%40.82%39.22%MIN均值中位数MAX

St Kilda Saints (客队)

预测 61.31%1.63公平赔率
EV +1.17%
优势 +0.706%
Kelly +1.79%
增长率 +0.021%

假设最高赔率为 1.65

博彩公司预测分布
57.69%61.20%61.54%62.50%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.421.541.531.6570.42%64.97%65.36%60.61%MIN均值中位数MAX

有 2 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV +1.17%E +0.706%K +1.79%G +0.021%4.1%2026-03-15 04:15
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -12.95%E -5.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +1.17%E +0.706%K +1.79%G +0.021%5.1%2026-03-15 04:15
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -9.08%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.29%E -0.799%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 04:14
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.08%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.90%E -1.19%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 04:15
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -9.08%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -2.51%E -1.58%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 04:14
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.35%E -2.79%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 04:14
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.97%E -3.20%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 04:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.97%E -3.20%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 04:14
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.97%E -3.20%K -9.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 04:14
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.35%E -0.528%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.58%E -3.62%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 04:15
Coolbet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -2.51%E -0.995%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -6.19%E -4.05%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 04:14
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.28%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.05%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 04:15
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.28%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.05%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 04:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.19%E -4.05%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 04:14
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.19%E -4.05%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 04:15
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -4.06%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.80%E -4.48%K -13.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 04:15
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 38.87%EV -7.54%E -3.15%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.13%EV -6.80%E -4.48%K -13.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 04:14
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.28%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.42%E -4.91%K -14.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 04:15
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -4.06%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -7.42%E -4.91%K -14.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 04:15
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.28%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 04:15
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.28%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 04:15
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -4.06%E -1.64%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 04:15
Dabble (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 04:14
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 04:14
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 37.97%EV -10.25%E -4.42%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.03%EV -12.94%E -9.11%K -30.80%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-15 04:14
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-03-15 04:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-03-15 04:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-03-15 04:15

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (2)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.01%75.00I 1.33%NM 1.22%9.3%2026-03-15 04:15
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.01%75.00I 1.33%NM 1.22%9.3%2026-03-15 04:15