语言:简体中文
Melbourne Demons v Essendon Bombers
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Melbourne Demons (主队)
预测 80.27%1.25公平赔率
EV -3.67%
优势 -3.06%
Kelly -18.37%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.20
博彩公司预测分布
76.69%80.05%80.29%81.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.101.171.171.2090.91%85.55%85.47%83.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
Essendon Bombers (客队)
预测 19.73%5.07公平赔率
EV +3.58%
优势 +0.681%
Kelly +0.842%
增长率 +0.030%
假设最高赔率为 5.25
博彩公司预测分布
18.10%19.95%19.71%23.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.854.764.825.2525.97%21.00%20.73%19.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Melbourne Demons (主队)：80.27%；Essendon Bombers (客队)：19.73%。 对于“Essendon Bombers (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.07。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.25，对应+3.58%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -6.89%E -5.94%K -43.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +3.58%E +0.681%K +0.842%G +0.030% | 5.3% | 2026-06-13 01:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.89%E -5.94%K -43.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +2.59%E +0.498%K +0.617%G +0.016% | 5.4% | 2026-06-13 00:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.08%E -5.20%K -35.78%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.618%E +0.121%K +0.151%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-13 03:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.08%E -5.20%K -35.78%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.618%E +0.121%K +0.151%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-13 03:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.08%E -5.20%K -35.78%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.618%E +0.121%K +0.151%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-13 02:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.08%E -5.20%K -35.78%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.618%E +0.121%K +0.151%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-06-13 02:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.08%E -5.20%K -35.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.36%E -0.271%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-13 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.08%E -5.20%K -35.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.36%E -0.271%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-13 01:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.08%E -5.20%K -35.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.36%E -0.271%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-13 02:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.08%E -5.20%K -35.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.36%E -0.271%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-13 01:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.69%E -6.69%K -51.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.36%E -0.271%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-13 00:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.98%EV -6.08%E -5.20%K -35.78%G +0.000% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.02%EV -1.75%E -0.351%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-13 03:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.28%E -4.47%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.33%E -0.679%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-13 00:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -6.08%E -5.20%K -35.78%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.31%E -0.890%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-13 03:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.48%E -3.76%K -23.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.30%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-13 01:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.08%E -5.20%K -35.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.29%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-13 02:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.08%E -5.20%K -35.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.29%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-13 01:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.08%E -5.20%K -35.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.29%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-13 03:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.89%E -5.94%K -43.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.29%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-13 03:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -7.69%E -6.69%K -51.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -7.27%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-12 03:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.67%E -3.06%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-13 01:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.28%E -4.47%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-10 07:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.28%E -4.47%K -29.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-10 07:38 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -6.89%E -5.94%K -43.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -11.22%E -2.49%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-13 02:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 80.00%EV -11.70%E -10.64%K -117.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -13.19%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-06-13 01:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -4.48%E -3.76%K -23.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -21.08%E -5.27%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-11 12:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -4.48%E -3.76%K -23.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -21.08%E -5.27%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-11 12:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.69%EV -6.08%E -5.20%K -35.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.31%EV -24.04%E -6.25%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-13 03:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-06-13 03:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-06-13 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-06-13 02:50 |