Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Melbourne Demons v Essendon Bombers

2027-03-21 04:15 UTC — AFL

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Melbourne Demons (Local)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -85.47%
Kelly -588.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.04%0.00%0.00%83.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.151.141.1787.72%87.12%87.72%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Essendon Bombers (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%—fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -17.39%
Kelly -21.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.55%0.00%0.00%18.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.405.405.7520.00%18.52%18.52%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Melbourne Demons (Local): 0.00%; Essendon Bombers (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%5.5%2026-10-27 20:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%5.3%2026-10-27 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%5.1%2026-10-27 20:59
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%5.1%2026-10-27 21:00
TAB🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%5.1%2026-10-27 20:58
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%6.2%2026-10-27 21:00
Grosvenor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%6.2%2026-10-27 20:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%6.2%2026-10-27 21:00
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%6.2%2026-10-27 21:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.