语言:简体中文
Melbourne Demons v Carlton Blues
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Melbourne Demons (主队)
预测 48.30%2.07公平赔率
EV -3.40%
优势 -1.70%
Kelly -3.40%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.00
博彩公司预测分布
46.95%48.41%48.65%50.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.931.932.0054.64%51.83%51.81%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
Carlton Blues (客队)
预测 51.70%1.93公平赔率
EV -0.217%
优势 -0.113%
Kelly -0.234%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.93
博彩公司预测分布
49.61%51.59%51.35%53.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.681.841.851.9359.52%54.27%54.05%51.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Melbourne Demons (主队)：48.30%；Carlton Blues (客队)：51.70%。 对于“Carlton Blues (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.934。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.930，期望值为-0.217%，未产生正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.40%E -1.70%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.90%E -3.24%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.40%E -1.70%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.42%E -3.55%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.40%E -1.70%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.94%E -3.85%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 08:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.40%E -1.70%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.49%E -4.80%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 09:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.85%E -2.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.39%E -2.94%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -1.77%E -0.931%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 09:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 09:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 09:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.82%E -2.98%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.78%E -3.51%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.32%E -1.78%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.78%E -3.51%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.32%E -1.78%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.78%E -3.51%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.32%E -1.78%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.78%E -3.51%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.32%E -1.78%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.78%E -3.51%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.32%E -1.78%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.27%E -3.78%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.80%E -1.49%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 09:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.35%E -2.35%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 09:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%EV -6.42%E -3.55%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 08:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -8.23%E -4.33%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -0.217%E -0.113%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.23%E -4.33%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.77%E -0.931%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 08:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.23%E -4.33%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.77%E -0.931%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 06:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.23%E -4.33%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.77%E -0.931%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 06:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.23%E -4.33%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.94%E -3.85%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.23%E -4.33%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.94%E -3.85%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.03%EV -11.13%E -6.05%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.97%EV -8.49%E -4.80%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.86%EV -11.61%E -6.35%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.14%EV -13.14%E -7.82%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-29 09:25 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 0.3% | 2026-08-29 09:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 0.3% | 2026-08-29 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 0.3% | 2026-08-29 09:30 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.50% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.35% | 80.00I 1.25%NM 1.15% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |