La scuola delle quote

Hawthorn Hawks v Western Bulldogs

Inizio: 2026-06-05 09:40 UTC

Finale: Hawthorn Hawks 71–77 Western Bulldogs

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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27 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Hawthorn Hawks (Casa)

Previsione 63.09%1.59quota equa
EV -2.22%
Vantaggio -1.43%
Kelly -4.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.95%62.76%63.06%68.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.491.501.5571.43%67.23%66.67%64.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Western Bulldogs (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.91%2.71quota equa
EV +10.74%
Vantaggio +3.58%
Kelly +5.37%
Crescita +0.577%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.82%37.24%36.94%40.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.322.582.603.0043.10%38.78%38.46%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -11.68%E -8.34%K -29.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +10.74%E +3.58%K +5.37%G +0.577%4.8%2026-06-04 13:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -11.68%E -8.34%K -29.20%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV +5.94%E +2.07%K +3.18%G +0.189%6.3%2026-06-04 22:29
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -11.68%E -8.34%K -29.20%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV +5.94%E +2.07%K +3.18%G +0.189%6.3%2026-06-04 22:28
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.63%E -4.48%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.18%E -0.823%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 08:49
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.29%E -1.25%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 08:49
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.74%E -3.14%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.03%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 09:20
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.03%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 03:29
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.03%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 03:29
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.03%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 03:29
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.03%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 03:29
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.03%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.03%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 09:09
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.03%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 08:49
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.03%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 08:49
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.03%E -1.55%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 08:50
SportsBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -6.63%E -4.48%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.36%EV -4.40%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-05 09:19
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.85%E -1.85%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-05 09:29
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.11%E -2.70%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 09:29
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.74%E -3.14%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 09:30
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.52%E -5.88%K -18.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.87%E -2.30%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-05 06:19
PlayUp1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.48%E -2.27%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.72%E -3.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 09:29
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -5.37%E -3.58%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -8.46%E -3.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-05 07:39
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -6.63%E -4.48%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -11.41%E -4.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-05 06:29
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -6.63%E -4.48%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -11.41%E -4.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-05 06:29
NetBet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.86%EV -11.68%E -8.34%K -29.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.14%EV -12.52%E -5.28%K -9.14%G +0.000%13.6%2026-06-05 08:00
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -3.48%E -2.27%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -13.25%E -5.64%K -9.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-05 09:29
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -2.22%E -1.43%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -14.36%E -6.19%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-05 09:28
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-06-05 09:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-06-05 09:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-06-05 09:30