La scuola delle quote

Hawthorn Hawks v Gold Coast Suns

Inizio: 2026-04-25 02:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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28 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Hawthorn Hawks (Casa)

Previsione 57.15%1.75quota equa
EV -3.99%
Vantaggio -2.37%
Kelly -5.86%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.00%57.18%57.12%58.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.641.651.6865.36%60.87%60.61%59.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Gold Coast Suns (Trasferta)

Previsione 42.85%2.33quota equa
EV -1.45%
Vantaggio -0.629%
Kelly -1.11%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.33%42.82%42.88%44.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.202.202.3048.78%45.42%45.45%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 06:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 06:50
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.99%E -2.37%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 23:34
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.88%E -2.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 10:04
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:09
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:00
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.56%E -2.73%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:05
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.13%E -3.09%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.45%E -1.99%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:24
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 06:54
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 10:15
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 08:09
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 08:09
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 08:09
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 08:09
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 13:49
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 20:15
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 22:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 22:54
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.70%E -3.46%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 15:24
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.84%E -4.20%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.45%E -1.99%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 08:10
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -6.84%E -4.20%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -7.02%E -3.23%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 08:59
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.45%E -0.629%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 06:54
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -2.30%E -1.01%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 09:04
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.87%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 09:04
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.87%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 09:04
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.42%E -4.58%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.87%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 02:34
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -9.70%E -6.14%K -16.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -12.16%E -5.93%K -11.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-24 02:34
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -12.56%E -8.21%K -23.70%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -11.30%E -5.46%K -10.56%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 08:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-04-24 02:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-04-24 02:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-04-24 02:50