语言:简体中文
Hawthorn Hawks v Geelong Cats
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Hawthorn Hawks (主队)
预测 53.78%1.86公平赔率
EV -0.510%
优势 -0.276%
Kelly -0.600%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.85
博彩公司预测分布
51.32%53.90%53.95%58.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.601.741.751.8562.50%57.48%56.98%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
Geelong Cats (客队)
预测 46.22%2.16公平赔率
EV +4.00%
优势 +1.78%
Kelly +3.20%
增长率 +0.128%
假设最高赔率为 2.25
博彩公司预测分布
41.71%46.10%46.05%48.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.912.052.022.2552.36%48.72%49.38%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hawthorn Hawks (主队)：53.78%；Geelong Cats (客队)：46.22%。 对于“Geelong Cats (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.16。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.25，对应+4.00%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +4.00%E +1.78%K +3.20%G +0.128% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 12:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -13.42%E -8.33%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV +4.00%E +1.78%K +3.20%G +0.128% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 05:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -13.42%E -8.33%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV +4.00%E +1.78%K +3.20%G +0.128% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 05:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -13.95%E -8.72%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV +1.69%E +0.767%K +1.41%G +0.024% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 09:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.43%E -3.69%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 05:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 04:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.96%E -4.03%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 04:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -11.27%E -6.83%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -2.93%E -1.40%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 04:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.35%E -3.04%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.86%E -1.86%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 05:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 05:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 05:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 05:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.78%E -2.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 05:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.13%EV -7.50%E -4.36%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.87%EV -6.17%E -3.04%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 05:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.12%E -1.17%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 04:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.89%E -3.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.63%E -3.28%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 05:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -0.510%E -0.276%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-06 04:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 05:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 05:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 05:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.20%E -1.78%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 05:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.81%E -2.72%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 05:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.50%E -4.36%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 05:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.50%E -4.36%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.56%E -3.78%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 05:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.510%E -0.276%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 05:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.510%E -0.276%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -9.87%E -5.06%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 05:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.24%EV -12.88%E -7.95%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.76%EV -11.25%E -5.86%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-06 05:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.20%EV -9.65%E -5.75%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -11.72%E -6.13%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-06 05:05 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 05:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 05:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 05:05 |