The School of OddsHawthorn Hawks v Essendon Bombers
Head to Head
1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Hawthorn Hawks (Local)
Prediction 91.31%1.10fair odd
EV -4.13%
Edge -3.93%
Kelly -82.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.32%91.10%91.23%92.59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.011.031.031.0599%97%97%95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Essendon Bombers (Visit)
Prediction 8.69%11.50fair odd
EV +13.00%
Edge +1.00%
Kelly +1.08%
Growth +0.141%
assuming max odds 13.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.41%8.90%8.77%13.68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
6.5010.9011.0013.0015%9%9%8%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -5.04%E -4.85%K -126.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +13.00%E +1.00%K +1.08%G +0.141% | 3.8% | 2026-07-20 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.95%E -5.78%K -198.44%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +8.65%E +0.692%K +0.753%G +0.065% | 5.1% | 2026-07-20 02:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.95%E -5.78%K -198.44%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +8.65%E +0.692%K +0.753%G +0.065% | 5.1% | 2026-07-20 02:15 |
| Casumo | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.95%E -5.78%K -198.44%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +8.65%E +0.692%K +0.753%G +0.065% | 5.1% | 2026-07-20 02:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.95%E -5.78%K -198.44%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +8.65%E +0.692%K +0.753%G +0.065% | 5.1% | 2026-07-20 02:15 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.04%E -4.85%K -126.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +4.31%E +0.359%K +0.392%G +0.017% | 4.5% | 2026-07-20 00:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.95%E -5.78%K -198.44%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +4.31%E +0.359%K +0.392%G +0.017% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 21:05 |
| Neds | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.95%E -5.78%K -198.44%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +4.31%E +0.359%K +0.392%G +0.017% | 5.4% | 2026-07-19 21:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.87%E -6.73%K -343.31%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +4.31%E +0.359%K +0.392%G +0.017% | 6.4% | 2026-07-19 22:34 |
| SportsBet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.04%E -4.85%K -126.00%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -0.038%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-20 02:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.04%E -4.85%K -126.00%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -0.038%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-20 02:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.04%E -4.85%K -126.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -4.38%E -0.399%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-19 22:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.04%E -4.85%K -126.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -4.38%E -0.399%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-20 00:25 |
| TAB | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.04%E -4.85%K -126.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -4.38%E -0.399%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-19 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -7.78%E -7.70%K -777.93%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -4.38%E -0.399%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-19 17:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.95%E -5.78%K -198.44%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -8.73%E -0.831%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-19 22:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -7.78%E -7.70%K -777.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -8.73%E -0.831%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-20 02:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.95%EV -6.87%E -6.73%K -343.31%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.05%EV -10.90%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-19 23:34 |
| Unibet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.95%E -5.78%K -198.44%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -13.08%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-20 02:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.13%E -3.93%K -82.54%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -21.77%E -2.42%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-19 22:29 |
| Betsson | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.59%EV -5.95%E -5.78%K -198.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -30.46%E -3.81%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-19 10:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.59%EV -5.95%E -5.78%K -198.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -30.46%E -3.81%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-19 10:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 86.32%EV -5.95%E -5.78%K -198.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.68%EV -43.50%E -6.69%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-20 00:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.46% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54% | 1.9% | 2026-07-20 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.46% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54% | 1.9% | 2026-07-20 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.46% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.54% | 1.9% | 2026-07-20 01:00 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.28% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.92% | 8.9% | 2026-07-20 00:25 |