赔率学院

Hawthorn Hawks v Adelaide Crows

开赛时间: 2026-05-21 09:31 UTC

最终结果: Hawthorn Hawks 75–66 Adelaide Crows

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Hawthorn Hawks (主队)

预测 61.06%1.64公平赔率
EV -0.478%
优势 -0.293%
Kelly -0.758%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.63

博彩公司预测分布
57.11%60.63%61.35%63.86%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.431.541.551.6369.93%65.02%64.52%61.35%MIN均值中位数MAX

Adelaide Crows (客队)

预测 38.94%2.57公平赔率
EV +3.20%
优势 +1.21%
Kelly +1.94%
增长率 +0.062%

假设最高赔率为 2.65

博彩公司预测分布
36.14%39.37%38.65%42.89%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.172.432.452.6546.08%41.07%40.82%37.74%MIN均值中位数MAX

有 2 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -8.42%E -5.61%K -16.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +3.20%E +1.21%K +1.94%G +0.062%4.4%2026-05-21 09:29
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -7.19%E -4.73%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -1.47%E -0.582%K -0.963%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 09:30
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.64%E -1.06%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-21 09:30
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.64%E -1.06%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 09:29
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.64%E -1.06%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 09:30
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.64%E -1.06%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 09:30
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -7.19%E -4.73%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -3.03%E -1.22%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 09:28
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.81%E -1.54%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 09:28
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.53%E -2.23%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-21 09:30
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 09:30
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 09:30
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 09:30
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 09:30
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 09:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 09:30
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.59%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 09:29
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -4.98%E -2.04%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 09:29
PlayUp1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.14%E -2.64%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.54%E -2.72%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 09:30
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.54%E -2.72%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 09:30
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.42%E -5.61%K -16.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.54%E -2.72%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-21 09:30
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.75%E -3.05%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.48%E -3.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 09:30
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.35%EV -12.69%E -8.87%K -29.51%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.65%EV -11.60%E -5.11%K -9.13%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-21 09:29
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 60.48%EV -10.25%E -6.97%K -21.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.52%EV -12.38%E -5.50%K -9.90%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-21 09:28
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -0.478%E -0.293%K -0.758%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -15.49%E -7.14%K -13.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 09:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-05-21 09:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-05-21 09:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-05-21 09:30

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (2)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.70%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%100.00I 1.00%NM 0.93%8.1%2026-05-21 09:29
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.70%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%100.00I 1.00%NM 0.93%8.1%2026-05-21 09:30