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Greater Western Sydney Giants v West Coast Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-08-16 03:41 UTC

Final: Greater Western Sydney Giants 111–57 West Coast Eagles

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Greater Western Sydney Giants (Local)

Prediction 81.34%1.23fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -2.00%
Kelly -11.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.95%81.52%81.04%83.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.161.161.2091.74%86.27%86.21%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

West Coast Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 18.66%5.36fair odd
EV +7.31%
Edge +1.27%
Kelly +1.54%
Growth +0.112%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.55%18.48%18.96%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.955.005.7522.22%20.19%20.00%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Greater Western Sydney Giants (Local): 81.34%; West Coast Eagles (Visit): 18.66%. For West Coast Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.36. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.31%.

3 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -7.27%E -6.38%K -51.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +7.31%E +1.27%K +1.54%G +0.112%5.1%2026-08-16 02:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.21%EV -8.90%E -7.95%K -74.18%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.79%EV +3.58%E +0.644%K +0.786%G +0.028%7.3%2026-08-16 03:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -8.90%E -7.95%K -74.18%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -1.09%E -0.206%K -0.253%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-11 07:19
PlayUp🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.65%E -4.87%K -35.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -2.02%E -0.385%K -0.476%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 19:44
Coolbet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.83%E -4.13%K -28.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.82%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 03:38
TAB🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.83%E -4.13%K -28.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.69%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 03:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.83%E -4.13%K -28.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.69%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 03:30
Bet Right🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.83%E -4.13%K -28.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.69%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 03:29
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.65%E -4.87%K -35.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.69%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 03:04
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.65%E -4.87%K -35.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.69%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 03:04
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.65%E -4.87%K -35.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.69%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 03:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.65%E -4.87%K -35.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.69%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 03:04
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.65%E -4.87%K -35.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.69%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 03:05
Pinnacle🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.91%EV -4.83%E -4.13%K -28.44%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.09%EV -7.44%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 03:20
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -4.83%E -4.13%K -28.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -8.55%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 03:35
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -4.83%E -4.13%K -28.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -8.55%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 03:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -5.65%E -4.87%K -35.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -11.35%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-12 00:54
Coral🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -5.65%E -4.87%K -35.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -11.35%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-12 04:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.42%EV -8.90%E -7.95%K -74.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -14.15%E -3.08%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 03:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 80.84%EV -11.34%E -10.41%K -126.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -14.15%E -3.08%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-16 03:40
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.39%E -2.00%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -16.02%E -3.56%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 02:40
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.39%E -2.00%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -16.02%E -3.56%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 03:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.39%E -2.00%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -16.02%E -3.56%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 03:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-08-16 03:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-08-16 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-08-16 03:40

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (3)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.35%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%125.00I 0.80%NM 0.74%8.6%2026-08-16 03:40
NordicBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.35%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%125.00I 0.80%NM 0.74%8.6%2026-08-16 03:40
LeoVegas🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.75%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%100.00I 1.00%NM 0.92%9.0%2026-08-16 02:25