The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Greater Western Sydney Giants v North Melbourne Kangaroos

Kickoff: 2026-04-26 06:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Greater Western Sydney Giants (Local)

Prediction 66.22%1.51fair odd
EV -3.98%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -8.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.60%66.35%66.10%68.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.421.421.4575.19%70.60%70.18%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Melbourne Kangaroos (Visit)

Prediction 33.78%2.96fair odd
EV +1.33%
Edge +0.445%
Kelly +0.667%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.76%33.65%33.90%35.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.792.843.0040.00%35.80%35.21%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Greater Western Sydney Giants (Local): 66.22%; North Melbourne Kangaroos (Visit): 33.78%. For North Melbourne Kangaroos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +1.33%E +0.445%K +0.667%G +0.009%3.8%2026-04-23 21:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.04%E -0.705%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 03:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -10.60%E -7.85%K -30.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -2.04%E -0.705%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 14:25
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-20 03:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-20 03:14
TAB🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.30%E -3.71%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 12:44
PlayUp🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.30%E -3.71%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 01:00
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.30%E -3.71%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 20:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.30%E -3.71%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 20:24
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.30%E -3.71%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 20:24
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.30%E -3.71%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 20:24
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.30%E -3.71%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 01:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 05:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.73%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 03:09
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -5.30%E -3.71%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -4.41%E -1.56%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 01:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.90%EV -7.95%E -5.72%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.10%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 22:59
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 12:44
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.64%E -3.22%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 12:29
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.30%E -3.71%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:25
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 12:45
Coral🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 02:58
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.96%E -4.20%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 04:44
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.11%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 11:08
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -3.98%E -2.74%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -7.79%E -2.85%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 23:10
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -10.49%E -3.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 16:40
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.29%E -5.21%K -18.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -10.49%E -3.96%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 14:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.16%EV -11.92%E -8.97%K -36.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.84%EV -12.18%E -4.68%K -7.61%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 12:43
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 64.60%EV -9.28%E -6.77%K -25.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.40%EV -15.55%E -6.22%K -10.37%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-21 14:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-04-24 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-04-24 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-04-24 03:05