Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Greater Western Sydney Giants v Gold Coast Suns

2026-08-09 03:10 UTC — AFL

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Greater Western Sydney Giants (Local)

Prediction 61.14%1.64fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -2.55%
Kelly -7.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.25%61.14%61.14%61.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.541.561.5769.93%65.08%64.31%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gold Coast Suns (Visit)

Prediction 38.86%2.57fair odd
EV -4.80%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -3.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.75%38.86%38.86%39.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.402.442.4544.44%41.67%41.07%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.01%E -2.55%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.52%E -3.16%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-30 03:54
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.62%E -2.96%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.80%E -1.96%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 03:54
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.62%E -2.96%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.96%E -2.46%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 04:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.23%E -3.37%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.80%E -1.96%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 04:19
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.23%E -3.37%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.80%E -1.96%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 04:19
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.14%EV -12.57%E -8.79%K -29.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.86%EV -12.57%E -5.59%K -10.05%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-30 04:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 58.89%2.02I 49.50%NM 41.11%20.4%2026-07-30 05:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 58.89%2.02I 49.50%NM 41.11%20.4%2026-07-30 05:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 58.89%2.02I 49.50%NM 41.11%20.4%2026-07-30 05:35