The School of OddsGreater Western Sydney Giants v Geelong Cats
Head to Head
1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Option 1: Greater Western Sydney Giants (Local)
Odds
2.1746.08%Min
2.3342.88%Mean
2.3542.55%Median
2.4041.67%Max
Consensus probabilities
39.55%2.529Min
41.86%2.389Max
40.30%2.481Mean
40.26%2.484Median
40.33%2.480IQM
40.29%2.482Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.40 under the IQM model: 40.33%
EV -3.21%Edge -1.34%Kelly -2.29%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Geelong Cats (Visit)
Odds
1.4867.57%Min
1.5763.81%Mean
1.5763.69%Median
1.6261.73%Max
Consensus probabilities
58.14%1.720Min
60.45%1.654Max
59.70%1.675Mean
59.74%1.674Median
59.67%1.676IQM
59.71%1.675Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.62 under the IQM model: 59.67%
EV -3.33%Edge -2.06%Kelly -5.38%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Greater Western Sydney Giants (Local) ▼ | Geelong Cats (Visit) | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB | 2.40I 41.67% NM 39.70%EV -3.21% E -1.34% K -2.29% G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29% NM 60.30%EV -5.72% E -3.62% K -9.86% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 09:15 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67% NM 39.55%EV -3.21% E -1.34% K -2.29% G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -6.32% E -4.02% K -11.08% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67% NM 39.55%EV -3.21% E -1.34% K -2.29% G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -6.32% E -4.02% K -11.08% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 10:05 |
| Bet Right | 2.38I 42.02% NM 39.90%EV -4.02% E -1.69% K -2.91% G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29% NM 60.10%EV -5.72% E -3.62% K -9.86% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -4.02% E -1.69% K -2.91% G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -6.32% E -4.02% K -11.08% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 04:30 |
| Casumo | 2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -4.02% E -1.69% K -2.91% G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -6.32% E -4.02% K -11.08% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 04:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -4.02% E -1.69% K -2.91% G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -6.32% E -4.02% K -11.08% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 04:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -4.02% E -1.69% K -2.91% G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -6.32% E -4.02% K -11.08% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 04:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.36I 42.37% NM 40.25%EV -4.82% E -2.04% K -3.55% G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89% NM 59.75%EV -5.12% E -3.22% K -8.68% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 09:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -5.23% E -2.22% K -3.87% G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -4.53% E -2.83% K -7.54% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 05:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -5.23% E -2.22% K -3.87% G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -4.53% E -2.83% K -7.54% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 09:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.20%EV -5.23% E -2.22% K -3.87% G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29% NM 59.80%EV -5.72% E -3.62% K -9.86% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 09:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55% NM 39.90%EV -5.23% E -2.22% K -3.87% G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10% NM 60.10%EV -6.91% E -4.43% K -12.34% G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 10:05 |
| Unibet | 2.33I 42.92% NM 40.26%EV -6.03% E -2.59% K -4.54% G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69% NM 59.74%EV -6.32% E -4.02% K -11.08% G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-05 04:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -7.24% E -3.15% K -5.57% G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -4.53% E -2.83% K -7.54% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 04:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.30I 43.48% NM 40.41%EV -7.24% E -3.15% K -5.57% G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10% NM 59.59%EV -6.91% E -4.43% K -12.34% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 04:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.30I 43.48% NM 40.26%EV -7.24% E -3.15% K -5.57% G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52% NM 59.74%EV -7.51% E -4.84% K -13.65% G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-05 04:30 |
| Betsson | 2.30I 43.48% NM 40.26%EV -7.24% E -3.15% K -5.57% G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52% NM 59.74%EV -7.51% E -4.84% K -13.65% G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-05 04:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48% NM 40.26%EV -7.24% E -3.15% K -5.57% G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52% NM 59.74%EV -7.51% E -4.84% K -13.65% G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-05 11:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -9.26% E -4.12% K -7.41% G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -3.33% E -2.06% K -5.38% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 04:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45% NM 40.38%EV -11.28% E -5.13% K -9.40% G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11% NM 59.62%EV -11.09% E -7.44% K -22.63% G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-05 04:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.17I 46.08% NM 40.55%EV -12.49% E -5.75% K -10.67% G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57% NM 59.45%EV -11.69% E -7.90% K -24.35% G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-05 04:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Greater Western Sydney Giants (Local) | Geelong Cats (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.52I 39.68% | 1.61I 62.11% | 1.8% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.52I 39.68% | 1.61I 62.11% | 1.8% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.52I 39.68% | 1.61I 62.11% | 1.8% | 2026-07-05 12:30 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 2.30I 43.48% | 1.55I 64.52% | 80.00I 1.25% | 9.2% | 2026-07-05 04:30 |