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Greater Western Sydney Giants v Carlton Blues
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Greater Western Sydney Giants (Local)
Prediction 72.86%1.37fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -4.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.65%72.73%72.87%74.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.291.291.3582.64%77.54%77.52%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Carlton Blues (Visit)
Prediction 27.14%3.69fair odd
EV +3.12%
Edge +0.821%
Kelly +1.11%
Growth +0.035%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.05%27.27%27.13%29.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.473.463.8031.75%28.85%28.86%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Greater Western Sydney Giants (Local): 72.86%; Carlton Blues (Visit): 27.14%. For Carlton Blues (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -7.46%E -5.88%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +3.12%E +0.821%K +1.11%G +0.035% | 5.1% | 2026-06-20 05:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -7.46%E -5.88%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +3.12%E +0.821%K +1.11%G +0.035% | 5.1% | 2026-06-20 06:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -7.46%E -5.88%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +3.12%E +0.821%K +1.11%G +0.035% | 5.1% | 2026-06-20 05:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -7.46%E -5.88%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +3.12%E +0.821%K +1.11%G +0.035% | 5.1% | 2026-06-20 05:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -6.74%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +0.407%E +0.110%K +0.151%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-06-20 05:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.01%E -4.66%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.31%E -0.641%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.01%E -4.66%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.31%E -0.641%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 23:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.46%E -5.88%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -2.31%E -0.641%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-20 05:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.66%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-20 05:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.86%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.14%EV -5.29%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 06:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.26%EV -7.46%E -5.88%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.74%EV -5.56%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-20 05:28 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 06:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-19 22:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-19 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.01%E -4.66%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.46%E -5.88%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-19 04:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.82%E -2.89%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.09%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 15:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.74%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-18 23:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.63%E -1.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -11.80%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 05:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.63%E -1.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -11.80%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 05:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.80%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-19 22:37 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -6.74%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -11.80%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-20 03:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -6.74%E -5.26%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -11.80%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-20 03:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.87%EV -11.84%E -9.78%K -56.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -11.80%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-06-20 05:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.27%EV -7.46%E -5.88%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -14.52%E -4.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-20 06:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-06-20 06:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-06-20 06:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-06-20 06:10 |