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Gold Coast Suns v Greater Western Sydney Giants
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gold Coast Suns (Local)
Prediction 60.77%1.65fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -2.52%
Kelly -6.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.20%60.64%60.62%62.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.551.551.5868.97%64.55%64.52%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Greater Western Sydney Giants (Visit)
Prediction 39.23%2.55fair odd
EV +0.046%
Edge +0.018%
Kelly +0.030%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.65%39.36%39.38%41.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.382.402.5546.51%41.94%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gold Coast Suns (Local): 60.77%; Greater Western Sydney Giants (Visit): 39.23%. For Greater Western Sydney Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.549. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.550, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.046%.
Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.42%E -4.17%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +0.046%E +0.018%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-02 12:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -6.42%E -4.17%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -1.52%E -0.607%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 09:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.81%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.88%E -1.58%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 00:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.81%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.88%E -1.58%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 00:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.81%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.88%E -1.58%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 07:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.81%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.88%E -1.58%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 08:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.42%E -4.17%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.88%E -1.58%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 07:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -5.81%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -5.45%E -2.26%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 09:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.99%E -2.52%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.84%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 09:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.99%E -2.52%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.84%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 02:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.60%E -2.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.84%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 06:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.60%E -2.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.84%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 08:16 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.20%E -3.34%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.84%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.20%E -3.34%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.84%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 09:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.20%E -3.34%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.84%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 09:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.20%E -3.34%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.84%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 09:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.81%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.84%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 09:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.81%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.84%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 02:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.81%E -3.75%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.84%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 02:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.84%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 10:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.85%E -5.90%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.84%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 09:16 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.60%E -2.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.62%E -2.78%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 08:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.20%E -3.34%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 09:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.42%E -4.17%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.80%E -3.32%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 09:06 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.49%EV -11.89%E -8.20%K -26.42%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.51%EV -12.90%E -5.81%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-03 08:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -3.99%E -2.52%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -13.69%E -6.22%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 07:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -3.99%E -2.52%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -13.69%E -6.22%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 07:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -6.42%E -4.17%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -15.65%E -7.28%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 09:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-05-03 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-05-03 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-05-03 09:15 |