默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Geelong Cats v Western Bulldogs

开赛时间: 2026-04-17 09:20 UTC

最终结果: Geelong Cats 131–56 Western Bulldogs

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

27 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Geelong Cats (主队)

预测 61.87%1.62公平赔率
EV -4.10%
优势 -2.64%
Kelly -7.45%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.55

博彩公司预测分布
60.87%61.93%61.96%64.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.421.521.531.5570.42%65.92%65.36%64.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

Western Bulldogs (客队)

预测 38.13%2.62公平赔率
EV -0.104%
优势 -0.040%
Kelly -0.064%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.62

博彩公司预测分布
35.94%38.07%38.04%39.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.322.482.502.6243.10%40.26%40.00%38.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Geelong Cats (主队):61.87%;Western Bulldogs (客队):38.13%。 对于“Western Bulldogs (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.623。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.620,期望值为-0.104%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.10%E -2.64%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 08:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.10%E -2.64%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 08:14
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.72%E -3.06%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.77%E -1.09%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 23:09
Coolbet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.72%E -3.06%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.68%E -1.87%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 08:04
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.15%E -1.24%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 08:09
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.68%E -1.87%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 02:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.68%E -1.87%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 02:55
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.68%E -1.87%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 02:54
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.68%E -1.87%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 02:54
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.68%E -1.87%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 08:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.68%E -1.87%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 08:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.68%E -1.87%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 01:00
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.59%E -2.69%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 04:40
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.25%E -3.89%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 02:54
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.96%E -3.92%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -0.866%E -0.333%K -0.541%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 09:14
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.96%E -3.92%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.77%E -1.09%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 09:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.13%EV -5.96%E -3.92%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.87%EV -8.87%E -3.71%K -6.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 19:54
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.104%E -0.040%K -0.064%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 09:14
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.866%E -0.333%K -0.541%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 09:14
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.866%E -0.333%K -0.541%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 09:14
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 01:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.49%E -3.54%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 06:09
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.40%E -4.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-15 08:20
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.40%E -4.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-15 08:15
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -9.05%E -6.16%K -19.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -0.104%E -0.040%K -0.064%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 09:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.03%EV -12.14%E -8.55%K -28.91%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.97%EV -11.54%E -4.98%K -8.74%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-17 08:04
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-04-17 09:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-04-17 09:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-04-17 09:14