語言:繁體中文
Geelong Cats v Sydney Swans
收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →
獨贏
Geelong Cats (主隊)
預測 63.56%1.57公平賠率
EV -2.11%
優勢 -1.37%
Kelly -3.91%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 1.54
博彩公司預測分布
60.48%63.33%63.72%65.63%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.411.481.481.5470.92%67.73%67.80%64.94%最小值平均值中位數最大值
Sydney Swans (客隊)
預測 36.44%2.74公平賠率
EV +0.203%
優勢 +0.074%
Kelly +0.116%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 2.75
博彩公司預測分布
34.37%36.67%36.28%39.52%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.252.592.632.7544.44%38.65%38.10%36.36%最小值平均值中位數最大值
依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Geelong Cats (主隊)：63.56%；Sydney Swans (客隊)：36.44%。 對於「Sydney Swans (客隊)」，該估計相當於2.74的公平十進位賠率。 當時有5家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為2.75，對應+0.203%的正期望值。
博彩公司賠率 (28 家博彩公司)
本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 ▼ | 利潤率 | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.203%E +0.074%K +0.116%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 06:08 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.203%E +0.074%K +0.116%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 05:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.203%E +0.074%K +0.116%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 05:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.203%E +0.074%K +0.116%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-23 05:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.203%E +0.074%K +0.116%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-23 06:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.56%E -4.46%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.62%E -0.599%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-23 06:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.56%E -4.46%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.62%E -0.599%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-23 05:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.56%E -4.46%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.62%E -0.599%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-23 05:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.62%E -0.599%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 06:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -5.93%E -4.01%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -2.35%E -0.876%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-23 05:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.93%E -4.01%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.44%E -1.30%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 05:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.93%E -4.01%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.44%E -1.30%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 06:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.93%E -4.01%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.44%E -1.30%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 05:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.93%E -4.01%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.44%E -1.30%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 06:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.66%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.26%E -2.02%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-23 00:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.68%EV -7.20%E -4.93%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.32%EV -6.72%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-23 06:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.11%E -1.37%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-20 22:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.39%E -2.23%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 06:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-22 17:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.08%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-23 02:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.75%E -1.80%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-23 04:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-22 22:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.66%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-22 22:28 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -3.39%E -2.23%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -9.27%E -3.72%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 05:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -4.66%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -14.37%E -6.12%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-22 05:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -4.66%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -14.37%E -6.12%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-22 05:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.20%EV -10.38%E -7.36%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.80%EV -15.46%E -6.67%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-22 21:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.48%EV -6.56%E -4.46%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.52%EV -18.02%E -8.01%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-23 06:09 |
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率
更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-05-23 06:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-05-23 06:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.1% | 2026-05-23 06:10 |