La scuola delle quote

Geelong Cats v North Melbourne Kangaroos

Inizio: 2026-05-02 06:35 UTC

Finale: Geelong Cats 135–86 North Melbourne Kangaroos

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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28 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Geelong Cats (Casa)

Previsione 76.76%1.30quota equa
EV -4.05%
Vantaggio -3.24%
Kelly -16.20%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
73.75%76.77%76.68%79.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.151.221.231.2586.96%81.94%81.63%80.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

North Melbourne Kangaroos (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.24%4.30quota equa
EV +6.91%
Vantaggio +1.50%
Kelly +1.92%
Crescita +0.133%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.69%23.23%23.32%26.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.404.074.204.6029.41%24.57%23.81%21.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.89%E -6.57%K -39.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +6.91%E +1.50%K +1.92%G +0.133%5.1%2026-05-02 06:30
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -9.42%E -7.99%K -52.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +2.26%E +0.513%K +0.664%G +0.015%7.5%2026-05-02 05:50
BetUS1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.59%E -4.54%K -24.29%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +1.10%E +0.252%K +0.327%G +0.004%4.3%2026-05-01 00:05
Marathon Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -8.66%E -7.27%K -45.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -0.065%E -0.015%K -0.020%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 06:30
Tipico (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -9.42%E -7.99%K -52.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -0.065%E -0.015%K -0.020%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 04:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.35%E -5.21%K -28.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.23%E -0.289%K -0.378%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 00:04
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.35%E -5.21%K -28.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.23%E -0.289%K -0.378%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 00:05
Dabble (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.35%E -5.21%K -28.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.23%E -0.289%K -0.378%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 06:31
TAB1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.59%E -4.54%K -24.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.39%E -0.569%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 21:44
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.59%E -4.54%K -24.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.39%E -0.569%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 22:40
Casumo1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.59%E -4.54%K -24.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.39%E -0.569%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 00:14
Unibet (NL)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.59%E -4.54%K -24.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.39%E -0.569%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 00:14
Grosvenor1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.59%E -4.54%K -24.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.39%E -0.569%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 00:15
TABtouch1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.59%E -4.54%K -24.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.39%E -0.569%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 00:14
DraftKings1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.35%E -5.21%K -28.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.39%E -0.569%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 02:35
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.35%E -5.21%K -28.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.71%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 04:00
SportsBet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.59%E -4.54%K -24.29%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -5.88%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 05:45
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.05%E -3.24%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.04%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 00:19
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.35%E -5.21%K -28.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.04%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 00:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.35%E -5.21%K -28.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.04%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 00:03
Unibet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.59%E -4.54%K -24.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.20%E -2.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 00:14
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 75.92%EV -4.05%E -3.24%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.08%EV -8.43%E -2.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 03:50
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.05%E -3.24%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.85%E -3.43%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 00:03
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.35%E -5.21%K -28.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.85%E -3.43%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 06:10
NetBet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 76.29%EV -11.73%E -10.20%K -78.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.71%EV -14.01%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-02 00:24
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -4.82%E -3.89%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -16.33%E -4.54%K -6.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 00:14
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -4.82%E -3.89%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -16.33%E -4.54%K -6.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 00:14
Unibet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 73.75%EV -7.12%E -5.89%K -33.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -20.98%E -6.17%K -8.74%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 06:21
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-05-02 06:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-05-02 06:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-05-02 06:30