La scuola delle quote

Geelong Cats v Fremantle Dockers

Inizio: 2026-03-14 05:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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27 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Geelong Cats (Casa)

Previsione 66.77%1.50quota equa
EV -1.85%
Vantaggio -1.26%
Kelly -3.93%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.47

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.82%66.39%66.47%69.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.341.411.411.4774.63%70.98%70.92%68.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fremantle Dockers (Trasferta)

Previsione 33.23%3.01quota equa
EV +3.01%
Vantaggio +0.972%
Kelly +1.43%
Crescita +0.043%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.49%33.61%33.53%37.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.452.832.883.1040.82%35.30%34.72%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
PlayUp1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -7.19%E -5.17%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV +3.01%E +0.972%K +1.43%G +0.043%4.2%2026-03-14 04:59
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +3.01%E +0.972%K +1.43%G +0.043%5.8%2026-03-14 05:05
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -8.52%E -6.22%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV +1.35%E +0.443%K +0.659%G +0.009%5.8%2026-03-14 04:54
SportsBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -8.52%E -6.22%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV +0.354%E +0.117%K +0.175%G +0.001%6.1%2026-03-14 05:05
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41%EV -7.19%E -5.17%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.59%EV +0.022%E +0.007%K +0.011%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 05:10
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.19%E -3.65%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.310%E -0.103%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 21:30
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.310%E -0.103%K -0.155%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 04:54
PointsBet (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.86%E -5.69%K -20.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.310%E -0.103%K -0.155%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 05:05
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.85%E -4.15%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.63%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 05:09
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.85%E -4.15%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.63%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 05:09
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.85%E -4.15%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.63%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 05:10
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.85%E -4.15%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.63%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 05:10
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -3.63%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 05:04
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.30%E -1.49%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 05:05
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 05:09
Dabble (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.52%E -6.22%K -23.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -5.29%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 05:09
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 66.90%EV -7.19%E -5.17%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.10%EV -6.62%E -2.36%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 05:05
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.85%E -2.67%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 05:09
Betr (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.85%E -1.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 04:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -2.52%E -1.72%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 23:19
Neds1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -2.52%E -1.72%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-13 23:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.85%E -2.67%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 23:25
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.85%E -2.67%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 23:30
NetBet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.73%EV -10.53%E -7.86%K -30.96%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.27%EV -14.60%E -5.68%K -9.30%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-14 05:10
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -3.18%E -2.20%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -15.26%E -5.99%K -9.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 07:35
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -3.18%E -2.20%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -18.59%E -7.59%K -12.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 03:09
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -3.18%E -2.20%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -18.59%E -7.59%K -12.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 03:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-03-14 05:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-03-14 05:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-03-14 05:05