语言:简体中文
Geelong Cats v Carlton Blues
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Geelong Cats (主队)
预测 62.29%1.61公平赔率
EV +0.279%
优势 +0.174%
Kelly +0.458%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 1.61
博彩公司预测分布
58.29%62.32%62.20%65.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.411.511.511.6170.92%66.26%66.23%62.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
Carlton Blues (客队)
预测 37.71%2.65公平赔率
EV +3.72%
优势 +1.35%
Kelly +2.12%
增长率 +0.079%
假设最高赔率为 2.75
博彩公司预测分布
34.68%37.68%37.80%41.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.502.502.7544.44%40.07%40.00%36.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Geelong Cats (主队)：62.29%；Carlton Blues (客队)：37.71%。 对于“Carlton Blues (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.65。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.75，对应+3.72%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -9.06%E -6.21%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV +3.72%E +1.35%K +2.12%G +0.079% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 09:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.82%E -5.28%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.056%E -0.021%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 08:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -6.57%E -4.38%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -0.433%E -0.164%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.33%E -3.50%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.94%E -0.747%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.57%E -4.38%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.94%E -0.747%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.57%E -4.38%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.94%E -0.747%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.33%E -3.50%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 09:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.95%E -3.94%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 09:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.95%E -3.94%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 09:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.95%E -3.94%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 09:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.95%E -3.94%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 09:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.44%E -5.74%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 09:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -6.57%E -4.38%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -4.58%E -1.81%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 09:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.08%E -2.65%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 09:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.33%E -3.50%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 09:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.95%E -3.94%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.82%E -5.28%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.33%E -3.50%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 09:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.33%E -3.50%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 09:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -6.57%E -4.38%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -11.37%E -4.84%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-03 15:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -6.57%E -4.38%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -11.37%E -4.84%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-03 15:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.20%EV -12.18%E -8.64%K -29.70%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.80%EV -12.50%E -5.39%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-04 09:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -7.82%E -5.28%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -13.26%E -5.76%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV +0.279%E +0.174%K +0.458%G +0.001% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -15.14%E -6.73%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 02:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV +0.279%E +0.174%K +0.458%G +0.001% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -15.14%E -6.73%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 05:40 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 0.3% | 2026-09-04 09:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 0.3% | 2026-09-04 09:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 09:35 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.42% | 70.00I 1.43%NM 1.32% | 8.5% | 2026-09-03 15:40 |