The School of OddsFremantle Dockers v Sydney Swans
Head to Head
1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Option 1: Fremantle Dockers (Local)
Odds
1.3772.99%Min
1.4668.67%Mean
1.4768.03%Median
1.5066.67%Max
Consensus probabilities
63.16%1.583Min
65.48%1.527Max
64.20%1.558Mean
64.32%1.555Median
64.19%1.558IQM
64.24%1.557Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.50 under the IQM model: 64.19%
EV -3.71%Edge -2.48%Kelly -7.43%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Sydney Swans (Visit)
Odds
2.4041.67%Min
2.6337.97%Mean
2.6637.59%Median
2.7536.36%Max
Consensus probabilities
34.52%2.897Min
36.84%2.714Max
35.80%2.794Mean
35.68%2.803Median
35.81%2.793IQM
35.76%2.796Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.75 under the IQM model: 35.81%
EV -1.52%Edge -0.554%Kelly -0.871%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Fremantle Dockers (Local) ▼ | Sydney Swans (Visit) | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67% NM 63.59%EV -3.71% E -2.48% K -7.43% G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17% NM 36.41%EV -6.18% E -2.36% K -3.81% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 04:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.48I 67.57% NM 64.34%EV -5.00% E -3.38% K -10.41% G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45% NM 35.66%EV -4.39% E -1.64% K -2.63% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 05:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.48I 67.57% NM 64.25%EV -5.00% E -3.38% K -10.41% G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59% NM 35.75%EV -4.75% E -1.78% K -2.86% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.48I 67.57% NM 63.73%EV -5.00% E -3.38% K -10.41% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.27%EV -6.90% E -2.65% K -4.31% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 04:30 |
| TAB | 1.47I 68.03% NM 64.75%EV -5.64% E -3.84% K -12.00% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 35.25%EV -3.31% E -1.23% K -1.95% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 09:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.47I 68.03% NM 64.75%EV -5.64% E -3.84% K -12.00% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 35.25%EV -3.31% E -1.23% K -1.95% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 04:25 |
| Casumo | 1.47I 68.03% NM 64.75%EV -5.64% E -3.84% K -12.00% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 35.25%EV -3.31% E -1.23% K -1.95% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 04:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.47I 68.03% NM 64.75%EV -5.64% E -3.84% K -12.00% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 35.25%EV -3.31% E -1.23% K -1.95% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 04:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.47I 68.03% NM 64.75%EV -5.64% E -3.84% K -12.00% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 35.25%EV -3.31% E -1.23% K -1.95% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 04:30 |
| Unibet | 1.47I 68.03% NM 63.88%EV -5.64% E -3.84% K -12.00% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.12%EV -6.90% E -2.65% K -4.31% G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-05 12:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.47I 68.03% NM 63.25%EV -5.64% E -3.84% K -12.00% G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53% NM 36.75%EV -9.40% E -3.72% K -6.15% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 04:30 |
| Neds | 1.45I 68.97% NM 65.48%EV -6.92% E -4.78% K -15.39% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.52%EV -1.52% E -0.554% K -0.871% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 04:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.45I 68.97% NM 65.48%EV -6.92% E -4.78% K -15.39% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.52%EV -1.52% E -0.554% K -0.871% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 04:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.45I 68.97% NM 65.48%EV -6.92% E -4.78% K -15.39% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.52%EV -1.52% E -0.554% K -0.871% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 09:35 |
| Betsson | 1.45I 68.97% NM 63.75%EV -6.92% E -4.78% K -15.39% G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22% NM 36.25%EV -8.69% E -3.41% K -5.60% G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-05 04:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.45I 68.97% NM 63.75%EV -6.92% E -4.78% K -15.39% G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22% NM 36.25%EV -8.69% E -3.41% K -5.60% G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-05 04:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97% NM 63.75%EV -6.92% E -4.78% K -15.39% G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22% NM 36.25%EV -8.69% E -3.41% K -5.60% G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-05 11:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44% NM 65.22%EV -7.57% E -5.25% K -17.19% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 34.78%EV -3.31% E -1.23% K -1.95% G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-05 09:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.44I 69.44% NM 64.79%EV -7.57% E -5.25% K -17.19% G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74% NM 35.21%EV -5.10% E -1.93% K -3.09% G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 63.16%EV -10.13% E -7.24% K -25.33% G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67% NM 36.84%EV -14.06% E -5.86% K -10.04% G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-05 04:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.37I 72.99% NM 64.32%EV -12.06% E -8.80% K -32.59% G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49% NM 35.68%EV -11.55% E -4.68% K -7.86% G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Fremantle Dockers (Local) | Sydney Swans (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.50I 66.67% | 2.90I 34.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-05 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.50I 66.67% | 2.90I 34.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-05 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.50I 66.67% | 2.90I 34.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 1.45I 68.97% | 2.60I 38.46% | 80.00I 1.25% | 8.7% | 2026-07-05 04:30 |