语言:简体中文
Fremantle Dockers v St Kilda Saints
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Fremantle Dockers (主队)
预测 74.57%1.34公平赔率
EV -3.81%
优势 -2.95%
Kelly -13.13%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.29
博彩公司预测分布
71.59%74.37%74.24%76.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.181.261.261.2984.75%79.46%79.37%77.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
St Kilda Saints (客队)
预测 25.43%3.93公平赔率
EV +4.27%
优势 +1.04%
Kelly +1.38%
增长率 +0.059%
假设最高赔率为 4.10
博彩公司预测分布
23.36%25.63%25.76%28.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.153.693.754.1031.75%27.06%26.67%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fremantle Dockers (主队)：74.57%；St Kilda Saints (客队)：25.43%。 对于“St Kilda Saints (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.93。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.10，对应+4.27%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +4.27%E +1.04%K +1.38%G +0.059% | 4.4% | 2026-05-22 10:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.73%E +0.432%K +0.576%G +0.010% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 10:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.73%E +0.432%K +0.576%G +0.010% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 10:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.04%E -4.80%K -23.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.814%E -0.209%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 09:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.04%E -4.80%K -23.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.814%E -0.209%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 09:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.04%E -4.80%K -23.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.814%E -0.209%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 09:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.04%E -4.80%K -23.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.814%E -0.209%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 09:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -0.814%E -0.209%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-22 10:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.04%E -4.80%K -23.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.09%E -0.542%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 08:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.04%E -4.80%K -23.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.09%E -0.542%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 09:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.04%E -4.80%K -23.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.36%E -0.884%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-22 03:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.04%E -4.80%K -23.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.36%E -0.884%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-22 03:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -9.03%E -7.40%K -41.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.36%E -0.884%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-21 09:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.04%E -4.80%K -23.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.63%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 10:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.00%EV -7.54%E -6.08%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.00%EV -5.39%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-22 03:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.04%E -4.80%K -23.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.90%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-22 04:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -4.55%E -3.56%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -7.43%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-22 08:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.30%E -4.17%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.44%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-22 08:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.04%E -4.80%K -23.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.44%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 04:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.04%E -4.80%K -23.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.44%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 04:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.81%E -2.95%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.99%E -3.14%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-21 23:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.81%E -2.95%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.99%E -3.14%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-21 22:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.24%EV -12.01%E -10.18%K -66.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.76%EV -13.53%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-22 06:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -4.55%E -3.56%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -16.07%E -4.87%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-22 02:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -4.55%E -3.56%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -16.07%E -4.87%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-22 02:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -4.55%E -3.56%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -16.07%E -4.87%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-22 07:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.59%EV -6.79%E -5.43%K -27.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -19.89%E -6.31%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-22 10:20 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 0.3% | 2026-05-22 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-05-22 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-05-22 10:20 |