语言:简体中文
Fremantle Dockers v Hawthorn Hawks
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Fremantle Dockers (主队)
预测 64.90%1.54公平赔率
EV -2.64%
优势 -1.76%
Kelly -5.29%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.50
博彩公司预测分布
63.59%64.86%65.11%66.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.351.441.441.5074.07%69.41%69.44%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
Hawthorn Hawks (客队)
预测 35.10%2.85公平赔率
EV +0.023%
优势 +0.008%
Kelly +0.012%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.85
博彩公司预测分布
33.72%35.14%34.89%36.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.522.712.712.8539.68%36.83%36.90%35.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fremantle Dockers (主队)：64.90%；Hawthorn Hawks (客队)：35.10%。 对于“Hawthorn Hawks (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.849。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.850，对应+0.023%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.89%E -4.06%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV +0.023%E +0.008%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 10:06 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.19%E -5.03%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.73%E -0.619%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 01:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.19%E -5.03%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.73%E -0.619%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 10:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.19%E -5.03%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.73%E -0.619%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 01:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.19%E -5.03%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.73%E -0.619%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 01:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.19%E -5.03%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.73%E -0.619%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 08:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.19%E -5.03%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.73%E -0.619%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.24%E -3.59%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.49%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 08:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.89%E -4.06%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.49%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 08:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.89%E -4.06%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.49%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 09:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.54%E -4.54%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.49%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 09:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.19%E -5.03%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.49%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 01:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.19%E -5.03%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.49%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 01:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -6.54%E -4.54%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70%EV -4.89%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 09:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.94%E -2.66%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.24%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 09:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.94%E -2.66%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.24%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 09:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.59%E -3.12%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.24%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 06:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.54%E -4.54%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.24%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 04:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.54%E -4.54%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.24%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 05:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.45%EV -7.84%E -5.52%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.55%EV -5.59%E -2.08%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 08:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -3.29%E -2.21%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -6.65%E -2.50%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 10:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.84%E -5.52%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -7.00%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.84%E -5.52%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -7.00%E -2.64%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 08:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.64%E -1.76%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -8.05%E -3.07%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 09:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.59%E -3.12%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -8.75%E -3.37%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 10:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.72%EV -9.78%E -7.04%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.28%EV -10.51%E -4.12%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-03 10:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.12%EV -12.38%E -9.17%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.88%EV -11.56%E -4.59%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-03 08:05 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48% | 0.2% | 2026-09-03 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-09-03 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-09-03 10:10 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.37% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.49% | 80.00I 1.25%NM 1.14% | 9.4% | 2026-09-03 07:40 |