La scuola delle quote

Fremantle Dockers v Gold Coast Suns

Inizio: 2026-06-28 07:10 UTC

Finale: Fremantle Dockers 80–29 Gold Coast Suns

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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28 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Fremantle Dockers (Casa)

Previsione 80.16%1.25quota equa
EV -3.81%
Vantaggio -3.17%
Kelly -19.04%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
77.95%80.22%80.19%82.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.101.171.181.2090.91%85.21%84.75%83.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Gold Coast Suns (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.84%5.04quota equa
EV +3.17%
Vantaggio +0.610%
Kelly +0.755%
Crescita +0.024%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.85%19.78%19.81%22.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.104.684.715.2024.39%21.38%21.23%19.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Marathon Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -9.42%E -8.34%K -72.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +3.17%E +0.610%K +0.755%G +0.024%7.7%2026-06-28 06:48
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.41%E -4.59%K -30.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.797%E -0.159%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 06:29
PlayUp1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.21%E -5.31%K -36.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.797%E -0.159%K -0.199%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-28 01:20
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.41%E -4.59%K -30.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.78%E -0.568%K -0.713%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 06:29
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.41%E -4.59%K -30.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.78%E -0.568%K -0.713%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 06:30
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.41%E -4.59%K -30.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.78%E -0.568%K -0.713%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 06:30
Grosvenor1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.41%E -4.59%K -30.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.78%E -0.568%K -0.713%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 06:29
Coolbet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.61%E -3.87%K -24.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.77%E -0.993%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 03:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.41%E -4.59%K -30.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.77%E -0.993%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 06:29
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.41%E -4.59%K -30.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.77%E -0.993%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 06:29
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.41%E -4.59%K -30.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.77%E -0.993%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 06:59
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.41%E -4.59%K -30.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.77%E -0.993%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 06:59
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.21%E -5.31%K -36.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.76%E -1.21%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 06:30
Pinnacle1.18I 84.75%NM 80.00%EV -5.41%E -4.59%K -30.07%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.00%EV -6.35%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 07:00
BetUS1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.61%E -3.87%K -24.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -6.75%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 13:30
SportsBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.41%E -4.59%K -30.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.75%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-28 06:19
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -7.82%E -6.80%K -52.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -6.75%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-27 18:59
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.81%E -3.17%K -19.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.72%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 12:10
Dabble (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.81%E -3.17%K -19.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.72%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 06:59
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.41%E -4.59%K -30.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.72%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-28 06:29
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.41%E -4.59%K -30.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.72%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 01:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.41%E -4.59%K -30.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.72%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 22:39
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.41%E -4.59%K -30.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.72%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 22:39
Everygame1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -7.02%E -6.05%K -43.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.72%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-28 05:59
NetBet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 80.00%EV -11.82%E -10.75%K -118.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -12.70%E -2.89%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.6%2026-06-28 05:10
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -6.21%E -5.31%K -36.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -14.69%E -3.42%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-26 01:30
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -6.21%E -5.31%K -36.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -14.69%E -3.42%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-26 01:30
Unibet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 77.95%EV -7.02%E -6.05%K -43.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -18.65%E -4.55%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-28 06:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-06-28 06:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-06-28 06:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-06-28 06:40