語言:繁體中文
Fremantle Dockers v Geelong Cats
收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →
獨贏
Fremantle Dockers (主隊)
預測 60.93%1.64公平賠率
EV -3.73%
優勢 -2.36%
Kelly -6.44%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 1.58
博彩公司預測分布
59.95%60.86%61.07%62.03%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.431.541.531.5869.93%65.08%65.36%63.29%最小值平均值中位數最大值
Geelong Cats (客隊)
預測 39.07%2.56公平賠率
EV -2.32%
優勢 -0.927%
Kelly -1.55%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 2.50
博彩公司預測分布
37.97%39.14%38.93%40.05%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.202.422.452.5045.45%41.33%40.82%40.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值
依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Fremantle Dockers (主隊)：60.93%；Geelong Cats (客隊)：39.07%。 對於「Geelong Cats (客隊)」，該估計相當於2.56的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率：最佳賠率為2.50，期望值為-2.32%，未產生正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同（3 個賽果，而分析採用 2 個賽果）。由於存在這項差異，解讀分析結果時應審慎。
博彩公司賠率 (27 家博彩公司)
本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 ▼ | 客隊 | 利潤率 | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.73%E -2.36%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.40%E -3.12%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.23%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.23%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-08 11:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.95%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.95%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.23%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 10:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-08 22:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -3.88%E -1.58%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 11:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 03:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 03:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 11:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 08:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.17%E -4.01%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 03:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 22:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 22:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 22:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 22:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 22:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 00:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 02:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.23%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 22:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 22:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.39%E -4.86%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 05:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.39%E -4.86%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 05:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.95%EV -10.44%E -7.10%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.05%EV -14.04%E -6.38%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-08 05:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.14%EV -12.87%E -9.00%K -29.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.86%EV -12.09%E -5.37%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-09 16:24 |
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率
更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 12:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (1)
這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同，因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同，因而帶來額外不確定性。
| 博彩公司 | 選項 1 | 選項 2 | 選項 3 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.98% | 80.00I 1.25%NM 1.15% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 05:20 |