语言:简体中文
Fremantle Dockers v Geelong Cats
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Fremantle Dockers (主队)
预测 60.93%1.64公平赔率
EV -3.73%
优势 -2.36%
Kelly -6.44%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.58
博彩公司预测分布
59.95%60.86%61.07%62.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.431.541.531.5869.93%65.08%65.36%63.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
Geelong Cats (客队)
预测 39.07%2.56公平赔率
EV -2.32%
优势 -0.927%
Kelly -1.55%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.50
博彩公司预测分布
37.97%39.14%38.93%40.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.422.452.5045.45%41.33%40.82%40.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fremantle Dockers (主队)：60.93%；Geelong Cats (客队)：39.07%。 对于“Geelong Cats (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.56。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.50，期望值为-2.32%，未产生正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -3.73%E -2.36%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -7.40%E -3.12%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.23%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.23%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 21:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.34%E -2.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-08 11:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.95%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.95%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.23%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 10:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-08 22:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -3.88%E -1.58%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 11:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 03:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 03:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 11:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.56%E -3.59%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 08:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.17%E -4.01%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 03:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 22:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 22:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 22:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 22:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.32%E -0.927%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 22:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 00:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 02:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.23%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 22:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 22:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.39%E -4.86%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 05:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.39%E -4.86%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 05:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.95%EV -10.44%E -7.10%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.05%EV -14.04%E -6.38%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-08 05:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.14%EV -12.87%E -9.00%K -29.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.86%EV -12.09%E -5.37%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-09 16:24 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 12:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-09-09 12:20 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.98% | 80.00I 1.25%NM 1.15% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 05:20 |