Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Essendon Bombers v Sydney Swans

2026-08-16 06:40 UTC — AFL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Essendon Bombers (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -7.69%
Kelly -8.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.34%0.00%0.00%9.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.0011.8312.5013.0010.00%8.45%8.00%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sydney Swans (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -96.15%
Kelly -2500.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.58%0.00%0.00%92.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.031.031.0497.09%96.77%97.09%96.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Essendon Bombers (Local): 0.00%; Sydney Swans (Visit): 0.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TAB13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%4.8%2026-08-04 01:10
SportsBet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%5.1%2026-08-04 00:12
Paddy Power10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%6.2%2026-08-04 00:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.