赔率学院

Essendon Bombers v Hawthorn Hawks

开赛时间: 2026-03-13 08:41 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

24 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Essendon Bombers (主队)

预测 19.26%5.19公平赔率
EV +7.88%
优势 +1.41%
Kelly +1.71%
增长率 +0.135%

假设最高赔率为 5.60

博彩公司预测分布
17.16%19.09%19.33%22.30%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.254.964.885.6023.53%20.16%20.51%17.86%MIN均值中位数MAX

Hawthorn Hawks (客队)

预测 80.74%1.24公平赔率
EV -1.50%
优势 -1.23%
Kelly -6.83%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.22

博彩公司预测分布
77.70%80.91%80.67%82.84%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.101.161.161.2290.91%85.93%86.21%81.97%MIN均值中位数MAX

有 3 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
PlayUp5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +7.88%E +1.41%K +1.71%G +0.135%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -6.35%E -5.47%K -39.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 08:30
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +5.95%E +1.08%K +1.32%G +0.079%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.15%E -6.22%K -47.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 08:19
TABtouch5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +5.95%E +1.08%K +1.32%G +0.079%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.15%E -6.22%K -47.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 08:35
Grosvenor5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +5.95%E +1.08%K +1.32%G +0.079%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.15%E -6.22%K -47.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 08:35
Casumo5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +5.95%E +1.08%K +1.32%G +0.079%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.15%E -6.22%K -47.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 08:35
Unibet (NL)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +5.95%E +1.08%K +1.32%G +0.079%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.15%E -6.22%K -47.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 08:35
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +5.95%E +1.08%K +1.32%G +0.079%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.15%E -6.22%K -47.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 08:30
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV +1.14%E +0.216%K +0.267%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -6.35%E -5.47%K -39.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 08:39
Pinnacle5.04I 19.84%NM 18.71%EV -2.91%E -0.577%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.29%EV -6.35%E -5.47%K -39.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 08:39
DraftKings4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.61%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.73%E -4.01%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 08:19
Betr (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.61%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.73%E -4.01%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-13 08:29
Marathon Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -5.61%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -7.15%E -6.22%K -47.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 08:39
SportsBet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -6.57%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.54%E -4.73%K -32.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 08:10
Coolbet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -7.53%E -1.57%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.92%E -3.30%K -20.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 08:04
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.53%E -1.57%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.73%E -4.01%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 05:24
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.53%E -1.57%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.73%E -4.01%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 05:24
Tipico (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -7.53%E -1.57%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -7.15%E -6.22%K -47.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 08:40
Dabble (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -8.50%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.15%E -6.22%K -47.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 08:20
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.31%E -2.96%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.12%E -2.60%K -15.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 04:10
Ladbrokes (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.31%E -2.96%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.54%E -4.73%K -32.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 04:10
Coral4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.31%E -2.96%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.54%E -4.73%K -32.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 04:10
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.31%E -2.96%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -6.35%E -5.47%K -39.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 04:09
NetBet (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -15.24%E -3.46%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 80.00%EV -11.19%E -10.17%K -111.90%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-13 07:39
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -18.13%E -4.27%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -1.50%E -1.23%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 12:19
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88%1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12%0.1%2026-03-13 08:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%0.5%2026-03-13 08:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-03-13 08:35

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (3)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
Unibet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.46%67.00I 1.49%NM 1.40%6.6%2026-03-13 08:40
NordicBet4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%125.00I 0.80%NM 0.73%9.0%2026-03-13 08:40
Betsson4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%125.00I 0.80%NM 0.73%9.0%2026-03-13 08:40