Lingua:Italiano
Essendon Bombers v Fremantle Dockers
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Essendon Bombers (Casa)
Previsione 21.44%4.66quota equa
EV +7.22%
Vantaggio +1.44%
Kelly +1.81%
Crescita +0.130%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.96%21.22%21.39%23.54%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.804.464.505.0026.32%22.44%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Fremantle Dockers (Trasferta)
Previsione 78.56%1.27quota equa
EV -4.16%
Vantaggio -3.41%
Kelly -18.92%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.22
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
76.46%78.78%78.61%81.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.121.191.201.2289.29%84.01%83.33%81.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Essendon Bombers (Casa): 21.44%; Fremantle Dockers (Trasferta): 78.56%. Per Essendon Bombers (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.66. 7 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +7.22%.
Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +7.22%E +1.44%K +1.81%G +0.130% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -8.09%E -6.91%K -47.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 12:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV +2.94%E +0.612%K +0.772%G +0.023% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -9.66%E -8.40%K -64.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 03:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +1.86%E +0.392%K +0.497%G +0.009% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.52%E -5.48%K -34.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 00:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +1.86%E +0.392%K +0.497%G +0.009% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.52%E -5.48%K -34.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 00:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +1.86%E +0.392%K +0.497%G +0.009% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -8.09%E -6.91%K -47.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 22:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +1.86%E +0.392%K +0.497%G +0.009% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -8.09%E -6.91%K -47.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV +0.791%E +0.168%K +0.214%G +0.002% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -9.66%E -8.40%K -64.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 10:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.35%E -0.294%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.73%E -4.78%K -28.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 03:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.35%E -0.294%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.73%E -4.78%K -28.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 03:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.35%E -0.294%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.73%E -4.78%K -28.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 03:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.35%E -0.294%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.73%E -4.78%K -28.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 03:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.35%E -0.294%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.73%E -4.78%K -28.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 02:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.35%E -0.294%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.73%E -4.78%K -28.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 03:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.50%E -0.777%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.95%E -4.09%K -23.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 03:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.50%E -0.777%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.73%E -4.78%K -28.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 02:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.31%EV -5.00%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.69%EV -5.73%E -4.78%K -28.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 02:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.64%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.16%E -3.41%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 02:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.64%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.73%E -4.78%K -28.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-17 02:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.71%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.73%E -4.78%K -28.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 03:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.79%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.16%E -3.41%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 02:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.79%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.16%E -3.41%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 03:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.79%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.73%E -4.78%K -28.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-17 02:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -7.79%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.30%E -6.19%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 02:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -12.08%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 78.54%EV -12.02%E -10.73%K -100.15%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-17 02:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.22%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.16%E -3.41%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 02:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -14.22%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -6.52%E -5.48%K -34.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-17 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -14.22%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -6.52%E -5.48%K -34.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-17 00:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -18.51%E -4.87%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.46%EV -8.09%E -6.91%K -47.59%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-17 02:55 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 03:05 |