默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Collingwood Magpies v West Coast Eagles

开赛时间: 2026-05-23 06:35 UTC

最终结果: Collingwood Magpies 92–82 West Coast Eagles

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

27 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Collingwood Magpies (主队)

预测 89.69%1.11公平赔率
EV -4.03%
优势 -3.77%
Kelly -57.61%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.07

博彩公司预测分布
85.11%89.44%89.83%91.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.011.051.051.0799.01%95.20%95.24%93.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

West Coast Eagles (客队)

预测 10.31%9.70公平赔率
EV +16.00%
优势 +1.42%
Kelly +1.56%
增长率 +0.250%

假设最高赔率为 11.25

博彩公司预测分布
8.24%10.56%10.17%14.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.008.979.0011.2516.67%11.15%11.11%8.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Collingwood Magpies (主队):89.69%;West Coast Eagles (客队):10.31%。 对于“West Coast Eagles (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.70。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为11.25,对应+16.00%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Marathon Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.76%EV -9.41%E -9.32%K -941.39%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.24%EV +16.00%E +1.42%K +1.56%G +0.250%7.9%2026-05-23 06:09
Neds🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.72%E -6.46%K -168.08%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.42%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180%5.2%2026-05-23 03:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.72%E -6.46%K -168.08%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.42%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180%5.2%2026-05-23 03:09
PlayUp🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.72%E -6.46%K -168.08%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.42%E +1.22%K +1.34%G +0.180%5.2%2026-05-23 06:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.53%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.11%E +0.311%K +0.345%G +0.011%5.2%2026-05-23 05:09
Bet Right🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.53%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.11%E +0.311%K +0.345%G +0.011%5.2%2026-05-22 22:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.16%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.05%E -0.215%K -0.241%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 00:29
SportsBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.05%E -0.215%K -0.241%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 05:09
DraftKings🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.05%E -0.215%K -0.241%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 03:09
Pinnacle🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.01%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.53%G +0.000%9.46I 10.57%NM 9.99%EV -2.46%E -0.260%K -0.291%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 06:19
Paddy Power🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 21:18
TAB🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 08:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 06:19
TABtouch🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 06:19
Grosvenor🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 06:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 06:19
Casumo🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.20%E -0.800%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 06:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 89.65%EV -9.41%E -9.32%K -941.39%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.35%EV -9.78%E -1.12%K -1.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 06:29
Coolbet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -4.03%E -3.77%K -57.61%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -10.30%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 03:59
Everygame🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.72%E -6.46%K -168.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -12.36%E -1.45%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 06:19
Unibet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 03:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 23:30
Coral🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.93%E -4.65%K -82.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 23:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -17.51%E -2.19%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-21 07:00
Betsson🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 86.09%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.53%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -32.98%E -5.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-22 22:40
NordicBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 86.09%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.53%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -32.98%E -5.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-22 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 85.11%EV -5.83%E -5.55%K -116.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -38.13%E -6.36%K -7.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-23 06:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%0.6%2026-05-23 06:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%0.6%2026-05-23 06:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%0.8%2026-05-23 06:30