The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Collingwood Magpies v Port Adelaide Power

Kickoff: 2026-06-20 09:35 UTC

Final: Collingwood Magpies 78–52 Port Adelaide Power

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Collingwood Magpies (Local)

Prediction 62.60%1.60fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -4.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.84%62.57%62.30%64.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.501.501.5670.42%66.68%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Port Adelaide Power (Visit)

Prediction 37.40%2.67fair odd
EV +0.986%
Edge +0.365%
Kelly +0.580%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.25%37.43%37.70%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.522.542.7044.44%39.64%39.37%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Collingwood Magpies (Local): 62.60%; Port Adelaide Power (Visit): 37.40%. For Port Adelaide Power (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.986%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -7.36%E -4.97%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +0.986%E +0.365%K +0.580%G +0.006%4.6%2026-06-20 09:29
PlayUp🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.98%E -5.43%K -16.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +0.986%E +0.365%K +0.580%G +0.006%5.1%2026-06-20 09:30
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.36%E -4.97%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.884%E -0.333%K -0.536%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 09:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.36%E -4.97%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.884%E -0.333%K -0.536%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.10%E -4.07%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 03:40
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.10%E -4.07%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 09:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.10%E -4.07%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 09:29
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.10%E -4.07%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 09:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.10%E -4.07%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 09:00
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.10%E -4.07%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 03:40
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.10%E -4.07%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 09:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.10%E -4.07%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 09:10
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.36%E -4.97%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 09:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.23%E -6.37%K -20.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-18 07:00
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -6.10%E -4.07%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -5.37%E -2.12%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 09:09
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -3.60%E -2.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -5.75%E -2.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 09:20
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.23%E -2.76%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.75%E -2.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-20 09:29
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.35%E -1.50%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.49%E -2.60%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-19 15:00
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.23%E -2.76%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.49%E -2.60%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 08:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.10%E -4.07%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.49%E -2.60%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-18 22:50
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.10%E -4.07%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.49%E -2.60%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-18 22:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.37%EV -6.73%E -4.52%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.63%EV -7.62%E -3.08%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-20 09:19
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -6.10%E -4.07%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -9.11%E -3.75%K -6.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-20 09:30
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -4.23%E -2.76%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -12.10%E -5.15%K -8.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 07:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.03%EV -11.11%E -7.82%K -26.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.97%EV -13.23%E -5.70%K -10.02%G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-20 09:00
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -4.85%E -3.19%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -13.97%E -6.08%K -10.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-20 06:49
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -4.85%E -3.19%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -13.97%E -6.08%K -10.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-20 06:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.84%EV -5.48%E -3.63%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -15.84%E -7.04%K -12.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-20 09:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-06-20 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-06-20 09:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-06-20 09:30