Collingwood Magpies v Adelaide Crows

开赛时间： 2026-03-14 08:36 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

24 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

60%

40%

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Collingwood Magpies (主队)

预测 60.07%1.66公平赔率

EV +2.73%

优势 +1.59%

Kelly +3.84%

增长率 +0.105%

假设最高赔率为 1.71

博彩公司预测分布

54.52%60.04%59.62%65.45%MIN均值中位数MAX

赔率分布

1.421.561.531.7170.42%64.22%65.36%58.48%MIN均值中位数MAX

Adelaide Crows (客队)

预测 39.93%2.50公平赔率

EV +7.80%

优势 +2.89%

Kelly +4.59%

增长率 +0.358%

假设最高赔率为 2.70

博彩公司预测分布

34.55%39.96%40.38%45.48%MIN均值中位数MAX

赔率分布

2.052.402.402.7048.78%41.70%41.67%37.04%MIN均值中位数MAX

有 2 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
Bet Right	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -11.09%E -7.49%K -23.10%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +7.80%E +2.89%K +4.59%G +0.358%	4.6%	2026-03-14 08:35
Marathon Bet	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.45%EV -14.69%E -10.35%K -34.99%G +0.000%	2.69I 37.17%NM 34.55%EV +7.40%E +2.75%K +4.38%G +0.324%	7.6%	2026-03-14 08:34
TAB	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.78%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +5.80%E +2.19%K +3.52%G +0.204%	4.4%	2026-03-14 08:34
PlayUp	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -8.69%E -5.72%K -16.71%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV +3.81%E +1.46%K +2.38%G +0.091%	4.3%	2026-03-14 08:35
Betr (AU)	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.78%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +3.81%E +1.46%K +2.38%G +0.091%	5.1%	2026-03-14 08:34
Pinnacle	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -8.09%E -5.29%K -15.26%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +1.81%E +0.710%K +1.17%G +0.021%	4.6%	2026-03-14 08:34
Casumo	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.09%E -5.29%K -15.26%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.186%E -0.074%K -0.124%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-14 08:35
Grosvenor	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.09%E -5.29%K -15.26%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.186%E -0.074%K -0.124%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-14 08:35
Unibet (NL)	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.09%E -5.29%K -15.26%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.186%E -0.074%K -0.124%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-14 08:35
Unibet	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -8.69%E -5.72%K -16.71%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.18%E -0.891%K -1.50%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-03-14 08:35
TABtouch	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -9.29%E -6.15%K -18.21%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.18%E -0.891%K -1.50%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-14 08:35
SportsBet	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.52%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.98%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-14 08:34
Paddy Power	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.09%E -5.29%K -15.26%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.98%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-14 08:35
Everygame	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.78%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.98%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-03-14 08:34
Coolbet	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.88%E -2.43%K -6.47%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.17%E -2.63%K -4.57%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-14 08:34
Dabble (AU)	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.52%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.17%E -2.63%K -4.57%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-14 08:34
Tipico (DE)	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.52%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.17%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-03-14 08:34
Neds	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.877%E -0.532%K -1.35%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.13%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-14 08:34
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.877%E -0.532%K -1.35%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.13%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-14 08:34
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -0.877%E -0.532%K -1.35%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -12.16%E -5.53%K -10.14%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-14 08:35
Coral	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -0.877%E -0.532%K -1.35%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -12.16%E -5.53%K -10.14%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-14 08:35
NetBet (FR)	1.50I 66.67%NM 58.56%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.78%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 41.44%EV -15.36%E -7.24%K -13.71%G +0.000%	13.8%	2026-03-14 08:34
BetUS	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +2.73%E +1.59%K +3.84%G +0.105%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -16.16%E -7.69%K -14.69%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-14 08:35
DraftKings	1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV +2.73%E +1.59%K +3.84%G +0.105%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -18.15%E -8.85%K -17.29%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-03-14 08:35

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%	2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%	0.3%	2026-03-14 08:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%	2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%	0.5%	2026-03-14 08:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85%	2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15%	1.7%	2026-03-14 08:35

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (2)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Betsson	1.52I 65.79%NM 60.66%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.42%	100.00I 1.00%NM 0.92%	8.5%	2026-03-14 08:34
NordicBet	1.52I 65.79%NM 60.66%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.42%	100.00I 1.00%NM 0.92%	8.5%	2026-03-14 08:35