语言:简体中文
Carlton Blues v St Kilda Saints
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Carlton Blues (主队)
预测 40.41%2.47公平赔率
EV +7.07%
优势 +2.67%
Kelly +4.29%
增长率 +0.303%
假设最高赔率为 2.65
博彩公司预测分布
36.14%40.42%40.82%42.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.322.292.6546.51%43.07%43.67%37.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
St Kilda Saints (客队)
预测 59.59%1.68公平赔率
EV -1.67%
优势 -1.01%
Kelly -2.57%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.65
博彩公司预测分布
57.69%59.58%59.18%63.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.471.581.601.6568.03%63.26%62.50%60.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Carlton Blues (主队)：40.41%；St Kilda Saints (客队)：59.59%。 对于“Carlton Blues (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.47。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.65，对应+7.07%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +7.07%E +2.67%K +4.29%G +0.303% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -10.61%E -7.07%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-01 07:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +5.05%E +1.94%K +3.16%G +0.160% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -11.80%E -7.97%K -24.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-01 00:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +5.05%E +1.94%K +3.16%G +0.160% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -11.80%E -7.97%K -24.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-01 00:03 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.01%E -0.411%K -0.695%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.03%E -4.51%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 09:31 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.84%E -3.70%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 09:18 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.61%E -7.07%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 04:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 08:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -10.61%E -7.07%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -10.61%E -7.07%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 04:51 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.86%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 09:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.07%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.46%E -2.13%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 08:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.07%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 08:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.07%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 08:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.07%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 08:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -7.88%E -3.45%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 09:31 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -8.28%E -3.65%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -1.67%E -1.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-02 09:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.67%E -1.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 09:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.67%E -1.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 09:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 09:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 09:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 09:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 09:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.46%E -2.13%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 08:46 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.52%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.48%EV -12.40%E -8.43%K -26.37%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-02 09:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -9.90%E -4.44%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -2.86%E -1.75%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 09:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 09:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 09:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.77%EV -13.13%E -6.11%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.23%EV -11.80%E -7.97%K -24.58%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-02 09:20 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-05-02 09:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-05-02 09:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-05-02 09:25 |