赔率学院

Carlton Blues v Collingwood Magpies

开赛时间: 2026-04-16 09:35 UTC

最终结果: Carlton Blues 83–88 Collingwood Magpies

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

26 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Carlton Blues (主队)

预测 39.69%2.52公平赔率
EV +1.21%
优势 +0.475%
Kelly +0.781%
增长率 +0.009%

假设最高赔率为 2.55

博彩公司预测分布
37.50%39.63%40.05%41.86%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.172.382.402.5546.08%42.05%41.67%39.22%MIN均值中位数MAX

Collingwood Magpies (客队)

预测 60.31%1.66公平赔率
EV -2.30%
优势 -1.42%
Kelly -3.71%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.62

博彩公司预测分布
58.14%60.37%59.95%62.50%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.481.551.561.6267.57%64.31%64.10%61.73%MIN均值中位数MAX

有 2 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +1.21%E +0.475%K +0.781%G +0.009%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.73%E -5.05%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 09:30
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -0.773%E -0.309%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.12%E -4.63%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 09:30
Pinnacle2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -1.17%E -0.470%K -0.785%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 09:29
TAB2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.76%E -1.13%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.76%E -1.13%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 09:30
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.76%E -1.13%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 09:30
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.74%E -1.98%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.11%E -2.58%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 09:30
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.74%E -1.98%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.71%E -2.98%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 09:30
Dabble (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.74%E -1.98%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.71%E -2.98%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 09:29
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.74%E -1.98%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.92%E -3.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 09:30
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.74%E -1.98%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.92%E -3.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 09:30
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.74%E -1.98%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.92%E -3.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 09:30
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.74%E -1.98%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.92%E -3.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 09:30
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.74%E -1.98%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 09:29
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.74%E -1.98%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.54%E -6.36%K -19.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 09:30
SportsBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.54%E -2.33%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.92%E -3.79%K -10.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 09:30
Coolbet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.93%E -2.50%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.11%E -2.58%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 09:28
Ladbrokes (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.73%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 09:29
Coral2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.73%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 09:30
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.73%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.73%E -5.05%K -14.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 09:26
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -7.92%E -3.41%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 09:29
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.71%E -3.79%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 09:30
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.71%E -3.79%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 09:30
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.70%E -4.75%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.30%E -1.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 09:30
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -12.68%E -5.76%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.30%EV -8.93%E -5.92%K -17.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-16 09:29
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -13.87%E -6.39%K -11.86%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -10.74%E -7.26%K -22.38%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-16 09:30
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-04-16 09:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-04-16 09:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-04-16 09:30

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (2)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.34%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.73%100.00I 1.00%NM 0.93%7.8%2026-04-16 09:30
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.34%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.73%100.00I 1.00%NM 0.93%7.8%2026-04-16 09:30