语言:简体中文
Carlton Blues v Collingwood Magpies
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Carlton Blues (主队)
预测 39.69%2.52公平赔率
EV +1.21%
优势 +0.475%
Kelly +0.781%
增长率 +0.009%
假设最高赔率为 2.55
博彩公司预测分布
37.50%39.63%40.05%41.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.172.382.402.5546.08%42.05%41.67%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
Collingwood Magpies (客队)
预测 60.31%1.66公平赔率
EV -2.30%
优势 -1.42%
Kelly -3.71%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.62
博彩公司预测分布
58.14%60.37%59.95%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.481.551.561.6267.57%64.31%64.10%61.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Carlton Blues (主队)：39.69%；Collingwood Magpies (客队)：60.31%。 对于“Carlton Blues (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.52。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.55，对应+1.21%的正期望值。
有 2 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +1.21%E +0.475%K +0.781%G +0.009% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.73%E -5.05%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 09:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -0.773%E -0.309%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.12%E -4.63%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-16 09:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -1.17%E -0.470%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 09:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.76%E -1.13%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.76%E -1.13%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 09:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.76%E -1.13%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 09:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.74%E -1.98%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.11%E -2.58%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 09:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.74%E -1.98%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.71%E -2.98%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 09:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.74%E -1.98%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.71%E -2.98%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 09:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.74%E -1.98%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.92%E -3.79%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 09:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.74%E -1.98%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.92%E -3.79%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 09:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.74%E -1.98%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.92%E -3.79%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 09:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.74%E -1.98%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.92%E -3.79%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 09:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.74%E -1.98%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 09:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.74%E -1.98%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.54%E -6.36%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-16 09:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.54%E -2.33%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.92%E -3.79%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-16 09:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.93%E -2.50%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.11%E -2.58%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 09:28 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.73%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 09:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.73%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 09:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.73%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.73%E -5.05%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-16 09:26 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -7.92%E -3.41%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.52%E -4.21%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 09:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.71%E -3.79%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 09:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.71%E -3.79%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.31%E -3.38%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 09:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.70%E -4.75%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.30%E -1.42%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 09:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -12.68%E -5.76%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.30%EV -8.93%E -5.92%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-16 09:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -13.87%E -6.39%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -10.74%E -7.26%K -22.38%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-16 09:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-04-16 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-04-16 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-04-16 09:30 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (2)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.34% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.73% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.93% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 09:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.34% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.73% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.93% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 09:30 |